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The Technical Indicator
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Current Issue

  • Aug 20, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks continue to whipsaw amid a pronounced August volatility spike. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its rally from major support (2,817) — preserving a bullish longer-term bias — also rising within striking distance of its third recent retest of the 50-day moving average.

Past Issues

  • Aug 19, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Monday, rising amid renewed trade-related optimism, as well as China’s stimulus move, signaled over the weekend. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its bullish reversal from major support (2,817), punctuating its third successful retest in as many weeks.
  • Aug 16, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Friday, the latest in a prolonged series of August market whipsaws. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has thus far absorbed a mid-week plunge — this year’s biggest single-day downdraft — rising from a second successful test of major support (2,817).
  • Aug 15, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday, treading water in the wake of the U.S. benchmarks’ worst single-day downdraft year-to-date. Moreover, consider that Wednesday’s downdraft registered as internally aggressive, punctuating a second plunge fueled by at least 10-to-1 negative breadth across a narrow eight-session window.
  • Aug 14, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Wednesday, pressured amid the U.S. Treasury yield curve’s inversion, an event widely-viewed as a pending recession indicator. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite continue to whipsaw amid August volatility, pulling in aggressively from failed tests of the 50-day moving average.
  • Aug 13, 2019
    Technically speaking, a pronounced August volatility spike remains in play across the global markets, as well as the widely-tracked U.S. benchmarks. Amid the cross currents, the S&P 500 has staged a bullish reversal from major support (2,817) though the rally attempt’s durability remains an open question.
  • Aug 12, 2019
    U.S. stocks are back on the defensive early Monday, pressured at least partly amid concerns over escalating Hong Kong unrest. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has thus far sustained a bullish reversal from the August low, notching consecutive closes atop the breakdown point (2,912) amid persistent market volatility.
  • Aug 9, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Friday, pressured amid the latest signs of heightened China-U.S. trade tensions. The early downturn punctuates Thursday’s bullish reversal, a rally that briefly placed the S&P 500 atop the breakdown point (2,912). An extended retest remains underway, and the weekly close will likely add color.
  • Aug 8, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Thursday, building on a bullish mid-week reversal from major support. In the process, the S&P 500 is back for its first crack at the breakdown point (2,912) an area defining the immediate bull-bear technical tension. Recall that Monday’s violation of 2,912 punctuated the worst single-day downdraft year-to-date.
  • Aug 7, 2019
    True to August form, U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Wednesday, pressured amid plunging commodity prices and as U.S. Treasury yields fall off a cliff. Against this backdrop, the process of trying to establish a floor is underway, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite showing signs of potential success near major support.
  • Aug 6, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have staged a sharp August downdraft, selling off aggressively from recent record highs. The downturn has inflicted broadly-based damage, raising the flag to a bearish intermediate-term trend shift, pending repairs.
  • Aug 5, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Monday, pressured after China devalued its currency, signaling genuinely escalating China-U.S. trade tensions. In the process, the S&P 500 has extended its damaging August downdraft, venturing firmly under its 50-day moving average, as well as last-ditch support (2,912).
  • Aug 2, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Friday, pressured as the major benchmarks extend a largely tariff-fueled market downdraft following a sluggish monthly jobs report. Against this backdrop, the S&P has pulled in to likely last-ditch support (2,912) detailed repeatedly. Friday’s session low (2,914) has closely matched the floor and the weekly close will likely add color.
  • Aug 1, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Thursday, rising in the wake of Wednesday’s Fed-fueled market downdraft, the most aggressive single-day downturn in two months. Against this backdrop, each big three U.S. benchmark has maintained significant support, and Thursday’s strong start likely punctuates a successful retest.
  • Jul 31, 2019
    U.S. stocks are slightly higher early Wednesday, largely treading water ahead of the Federal Reserve’s widely-anticipated policy statement. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 is vying for its seventh straight close atop the 3,000 mark, while the small- and mid-caps are concluding July with a breakout attempt to punctuate an otherwise range-bound month.
  • Jul 30, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks are concluding July on a bullish note, digesting potentially consequential early-month breakouts. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has registered three July rallies to record territory — in grinding-higher form — and its prolonged slow-motion breakout attempt remains in play.
  • Jul 29, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Monday, treading water ahead of another earnings-filled week as well as the Federal Reserve’s mid-week policy directive. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have pulled in from their latest modest break to record highs.
  • Jul 26, 2019
    U.S. stocks are higher early Friday, rising after a better-than-expected GDP report, a full week of earnings reports, and ahead of next week’s widely-anticipated Federal Reserve interest-rate cut. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are back for another crack at uncharted territory. Both benchmarks have topped early Friday within one point of the all-time highs established Wednesday.
  • Jul 25, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Thursday, pressured after a soft batch of quarterly earnings reports. The downturn punctuates the S&P 500’s nominal record high Wednesday, a move that dovetailed with the small- and mid-cap benchmarks’ late-month resurgence.
  • Jul 24, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Wednesday, largely treading water after a mixed batch of second-quarter earnings reports. The sluggish start punctuates Tuesday’s respectable market upturn, a rally placing each major U.S. benchmark within striking distance of record territory.
  • Jul 23, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks are digesting a July breakout, pulling in modestly from record territory. In the process, the S&P 500 has maintained near-term support (2,973) against a still comfortably bullish intermediate-term backdrop.
  • Jul 22, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Monday, treading water ahead of this week’s full slate of corporate earnings reports. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has thus far maintained near-term support (2,973) while the Nasdaq Composite is retesting its breakout point (8,172) a level matching Monday’s early session low (8,171.5).
  • Jul 19, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, treading water after Thursday’s seemingly conflicting Federal Reserve policy remarks, and following a strong earnings report from Dow 30 component Microsoft Corp. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has maintained near-term support (2,973) an area currently matching the 20-day moving average.
  • Jul 18, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Thursday, pressured amid worries over China-U.S. trade progress and following another mixed batch of corporate earnings reports. In the process, each major U.S. benchmark has violated first support, extending its pullback from record highs.
  • Jul 17, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Wednesday, pressured modestly after a mixed batch of earnings reports and amid heightened trade tensions. Against this backdrop, each big three benchmark has pulled in from record highs amid selling pressure that has initially registered as relatively flat.
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