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Philip van Doorn

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June 5, 2020, 9:14 a.m. EDT

Chip stocks are flying high, yet Wall Street still sees bargains

The long-term prospects for semiconductor manufacturers may be brighter than ever

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By Philip van Doorn, MarketWatch


Bloomberg
Analysts polled by FactSet see 19% upside for shares of Appliled Materials Inc. over the next 12 months.

The U.S. stock market has defied many analysts’ expectations, with the benchmark S&P 500 Index rallying 40% from the bottom March 23.

In fact, it’s been the best 50-day rally ever , according to analysts at LPL Financial Research.

The iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF /zigman2/quotes/209255350/composite SOXX -1.18% has fared even better, returning 44% from March 23 through June 3. The ETF, which holds all 30 stocks that make up the market-capitalization-weighted PHLX Semiconductor /zigman2/quotes/210598361/realtime SOX -1.32% is now up 5% for 2020, while the S&P 500 is down 2.5%.

This isn’t a recent story. Here’s how the ETF has performed against the S&P 500 /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX -1.08%  over the past five years:


FactSet

The outperformance may continue. According to Brad Neuman of Alger Investments, there’s a 50-year technological revolution in “connected intelligence,” with an incredible expansion of data processing. That means gravy for semiconductor designers, manufacturers and equipment makers.

The S&P 500 itself has been performing well, led by tech giants — Apple Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202934861/composite AAPL -0.31% , Microsoft Corp. /zigman2/quotes/207732364/composite MSFT -1.16% , Amazon.com Inc. /zigman2/quotes/210331248/composite AMZN -1.86% , Apple Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202934861/composite AAPL -0.31% , Alphabet Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205453964/composite GOOG -0.70%  and Facebook Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205064656/composite FB +0.24%  — which together make up about 22% of the index’s total market cap.

Not all semiconductor stocks have recovered from declines since Feb. 19, which marked the low in prices.

So here are two lists, one showing stock performance for all 30 SOXX components this year, and the second summarizing sell-side analysts’ opinions of the group.

Here are the 30 components of SOXX, sorted by how much of the portfolio they make up:

Company Ticker Share of SOXX portfolio Total return - Feb. 19 through March 23 Total return - March 23 through June 3 Total return - 2020
Nvidia Corp. /zigman2/quotes/200467500/composite NVDA   11.0% -32% 65% 49%
Intel Corp. /zigman2/quotes/203649727/composite INTC   8.5% -26% 26% 5%
Texas Instruments Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202237907/composite TXN   7.5% -26% 30% 1%
Qualcomm Inc. /zigman2/quotes/206679220/composite QCOM   7.4% -30% 36% -3%
Broadcom Inc. /zigman2/quotes/200646538/composite AVGO   6.8% -38% 60% 0%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208144392/composite AMD   5.3% -29% 27% 15%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ADR /zigman2/quotes/204359850/composite TSM   4.1% -21% 17% -8%
Lam Research Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208077897/composite LRCX   4.1% -42% 50% -1%
Micron Technology Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205710729/composite MU   4.0% -36% 28% -9%
KLA Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209248041/composite KLAC   3.9% -32% 61% 5%
Analog Devices Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201631938/composite ADI   3.6% -31% 44% 4%
Applied Materials Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209393259/composite AMAT   3.6% -40% 44% -5%
Xilinx Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209389378/composite XLNX   3.3% -21% 33% -2%
ASML Holding NV ADR /zigman2/quotes/210293876/composite ASML   3.3% -27% 49% 18%
NXP Semiconductors NV /zigman2/quotes/202999625/composite NXPI   3.3% -43% 40% -14%
Microchip Technology Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208326291/composite MCHP   2.8% -40% 67% 5%
Skyworks Solutions Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201417573/composite SWKS   2.6% -37% 70% 6%
Marvell Technology Group Ltd. /zigman2/quotes/200053236/composite MRVL   2.6% -25% 90% 36%
Maxim Integrated Products Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201861354/composite MXIM   2.2% -27% 33% 0%
Qorvo Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209919828/composite QRVO   1.6% -33% 63% -3%
Teradyne Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208321188/composite TER   1.6% -32% 58% 6%
Monolithic Power Systems Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204177258/composite MPWR   1.2% -25% 63% 28%
Entegris Inc. /zigman2/quotes/200628784/composite ENTG   1.0% -31% 55% 24%
ON Semiconductor Corp. /zigman2/quotes/202641012/composite ON   0.9% -45% 64% -23%
MKS Instruments Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208573663/composite MKSI   0.8% -37% 49% 0%
Cree Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204547734/composite CREE   0.7% -32% 72% 23%
Cirrus Logic Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208789077/composite CRUS   0.6% -32% 32% -13%
Silicon Laboratories Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202999406/composite SLAB   0.6% -29% 27% -18%
Cabot Microelectronics Corp. /zigman2/quotes/207937874/composite CCMP   0.6% -44% 69% 7%
Semtech Corp. /zigman2/quotes/206723451/composite SMTC   0.4% -27% 51% 2%
Source: FactSet

Scroll the table to see all the data. Click on the tickers for more about each company, including news coverage and profiles.

Here’s the list again, this time sorted by implied 12-month upside potential, based on the consensus price targets of analysts polled by FactSet:

Company Ticker Share 'buy' ratings Share neutral ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - June 3 Cons. price target Implied 12-month upside potential
Micron Technology Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205710729/composite MU   80% 17% 3% $48.92 $59.60 22%
Applied Materials Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209393259/composite AMAT   79% 21% 0% $57.81 $68.75 19%
Silicon Laboratories Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202999406/composite SLAB   54% 46% 0% $94.81 $111.60 18%
Cirrus Logic Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208789077/composite CRUS   55% 45% 0% $72.06 $82.38 14%
Qualcomm Inc. /zigman2/quotes/206679220/composite QCOM   59% 31% 10% $84.11 $92.28 10%
MKS Instruments Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208573663/composite MKSI   71% 29% 0% $109.20 $119.43 9%
Nvidia Corp. /zigman2/quotes/200467500/composite NVDA   78% 15% 7% $350.78 $379.96 8%
Semtech Corp. /zigman2/quotes/206723451/composite SMTC   77% 23% 0% $54.01 $58.46 8%
Lam Research Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208077897/composite LRCX   80% 20% 0% $286.89 $307.83 7%
NXP Semiconductors NV /zigman2/quotes/202999625/composite NXPI   72% 28% 0% $108.55 $113.96 5%
Microchip Technology Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208326291/composite MCHP   82% 18% 0% $108.79 $113.47 4%
Intel Corp. /zigman2/quotes/203649727/composite INTC   37% 51% 12% $61.93 $64.05 3%
Qorvo Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209919828/composite QRVO   56% 44% 0% $112.99 $116.62 3%
Analog Devices Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201631938/composite ADI   70% 26% 4% $121.62 $125.05 3%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208144392/composite AMD   45% 47% 8% $52.73 $52.86 0%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. ADR /zigman2/quotes/204359850/composite TSM   65% 29% 6% $53.06 $52.80 0%
Xilinx Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209389378/composite XLNX   39% 54% 7% $95.39 $94.20 -1%
Teradyne Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208321188/composite TER   53% 35% 12% $72.32 $70.65 -2%
Maxim Integrated Products Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201861354/composite MXIM   22% 65% 13% $60.56 $58.78 -3%
ON Semiconductor Corp. /zigman2/quotes/202641012/composite ON   52% 36% 12% $18.83 $18.18 -3%
Marvell Technology Group Ltd. /zigman2/quotes/200053236/composite MRVL   78% 15% 7% $35.96 $34.72 -3%
Entegris Inc. /zigman2/quotes/200628784/composite ENTG   80% 20% 0% $61.97 $59.44 -4%
Broadcom Inc. /zigman2/quotes/200646538/composite AVGO   77% 23% 0% $309.53 $296.81 -4%
KLA Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209248041/composite KLAC   57% 43% 0% $186.05 $177.00 -5%
Texas Instruments Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202237907/composite TXN   34% 57% 9% $127.21 $117.81 -7%
Cabot Microelectronics Corp. /zigman2/quotes/207937874/composite CCMP   40% 40% 20% $154.02 $142.25 -8%
Monolithic Power Systems Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204177258/composite MPWR   83% 9% 8% $227.41 $209.11 -8%
ASML Holding NV ADR /zigman2/quotes/210293876/composite ASML   65% 29% 6% $346.30 $317.14 -8%
Cree Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204547734/composite CREE   43% 50% 7% $56.80 $51.08 -10%
Skyworks Solutions Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201417573/composite SWKS   55% 41% 4% $127.26 $114.00 -10%
Source: FactSet

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P/E Ratio
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Dividend Yield
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US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 52.93
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Volume: 32.15M
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P/E Ratio
127.73
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
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Rev. per Employee
$641,089
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US : U.S.: NYSE
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P/E Ratio
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Rev. per Employee
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Dividend Yield
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Market Cap
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US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 202.69
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$ 104.99
-2.76 -2.56%
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P/E Ratio
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Dividend Yield
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$ 61.51
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Dividend Yield
N/A
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Dividend Yield
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$551,208
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$ 53.26
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July 7, 2020 4:00p
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N/A
Market Cap
$3.50 billion
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$469,810
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US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 49.09
-1.83 -3.59%
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July 7, 2020 4:00p
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24.64
Dividend Yield
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$56.57 billion
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$832,917
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US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 62.18
-1.28 -2.02%
Volume: 5.08M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
19.81
Dividend Yield
1.42%
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$58.16 billion
Rev. per Employee
$800,095
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/zigman2/quotes/202999406/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 99.71
-0.74 -0.74%
Volume: 217,524
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
284.80
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$4.39 billion
Rev. per Employee
$576,922
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/208789077/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 62.62
+0.61 +0.98%
Volume: 1.11M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
23.70
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$3.62 billion
Rev. per Employee
$782,115
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/zigman2/quotes/206679220/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 92.14
-0.78 -0.84%
Volume: 6.72M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
27.32
Dividend Yield
2.82%
Market Cap
$104.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
$607,486
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/zigman2/quotes/208573663/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 112.37
-3.73 -3.21%
Volume: 366,669
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
31.51
Dividend Yield
0.71%
Market Cap
$6.38 billion
Rev. per Employee
$427,769
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/zigman2/quotes/200467500/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 394.87
+1.30 +0.33%
Volume: 8.94M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
73.74
Dividend Yield
0.16%
Market Cap
$242.05 billion
Rev. per Employee
$882,428
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/zigman2/quotes/206723451/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 53.26
-0.51 -0.95%
Volume: 363,352
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
100.49
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$3.50 billion
Rev. per Employee
$469,810
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/zigman2/quotes/208077897/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 327.89
-7.07 -2.11%
Volume: 1.28M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
23.58
Dividend Yield
1.40%
Market Cap
$48.62 billion
Rev. per Employee
$996,856
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/zigman2/quotes/202999625/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 115.43
-1.10 -0.94%
Volume: 1.33M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
135.40
Dividend Yield
1.30%
Market Cap
$32.52 billion
Rev. per Employee
$313,567
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/zigman2/quotes/208326291/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 104.99
-2.76 -2.56%
Volume: 2.32M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
47.31
Dividend Yield
1.40%
Market Cap
$26.43 billion
Rev. per Employee
$352,817
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/zigman2/quotes/203649727/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 58.31
-1.23 -2.07%
Volume: 16.00M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
11.29
Dividend Yield
2.26%
Market Cap
$252.09 billion
Rev. per Employee
$659,665
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/zigman2/quotes/209919828/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 113.02
-0.61 -0.54%
Volume: 723,707
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
40.19
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$13.00 billion
Rev. per Employee
$370,461
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/zigman2/quotes/201631938/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 122.62
-1.00 -0.81%
Volume: 1.92M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
41.11
Dividend Yield
2.02%
Market Cap
$45.54 billion
Rev. per Employee
$393,887
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/zigman2/quotes/208144392/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 52.93
-0.47 -0.88%
Volume: 32.15M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
127.73
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$62.54 billion
Rev. per Employee
$641,089
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/zigman2/quotes/204359850/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 60.71
-1.17 -1.89%
Volume: 6.67M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
24.08
Dividend Yield
2.17%
Market Cap
$298.16 billion
Rev. per Employee
N/A
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/zigman2/quotes/209389378/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 99.17
-2.93 -2.87%
Volume: 3.39M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
31.82
Dividend Yield
1.53%
Market Cap
$24.83 billion
Rev. per Employee
$723,353
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/zigman2/quotes/208321188/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 86.34
-1.79 -2.03%
Volume: 2.00M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
28.54
Dividend Yield
0.46%
Market Cap
$14.61 billion
Rev. per Employee
$428,735
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/zigman2/quotes/201861354/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 61.51
-0.47 -0.76%
Volume: 2.29M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
20.70
Dividend Yield
3.12%
Market Cap
$16.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
$349,295
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/zigman2/quotes/202641012/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 19.27
-0.39 -1.98%
Volume: 10.56M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
97.92
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$8.06 billion
Rev. per Employee
$164,658
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/zigman2/quotes/200053236/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 35.44
-0.72 -1.99%
Volume: 6.34M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
15.80
Dividend Yield
0.68%
Market Cap
$24.06 billion
Rev. per Employee
$764,415
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/zigman2/quotes/200628784/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 59.78
-0.99 -1.63%
Volume: 982,787
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
28.81
Dividend Yield
0.54%
Market Cap
$8.18 billion
Rev. per Employee
$316,428
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/zigman2/quotes/200646538/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 313.12
-5.67 -1.78%
Volume: 1.62M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
56.04
Dividend Yield
4.15%
Market Cap
$128.21 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.42M
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/zigman2/quotes/209248041/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 202.69
-0.90 -0.44%
Volume: 1.31M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
31.63
Dividend Yield
1.68%
Market Cap
$31.57 billion
Rev. per Employee
$656,821
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/zigman2/quotes/202237907/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 128.60
-0.93 -0.72%
Volume: 3.78M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
24.67
Dividend Yield
2.80%
Market Cap
$118.88 billion
Rev. per Employee
$528,105
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/zigman2/quotes/207937874/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 135.45
-4.39 -3.14%
Volume: 112,876
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
57.70
Dividend Yield
1.30%
Market Cap
$4.06 billion
Rev. per Employee
$551,208
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/zigman2/quotes/204177258/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 244.00
+1.86 +0.77%
Volume: 306,360
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
95.20
Dividend Yield
0.82%
Market Cap
$10.83 billion
Rev. per Employee
$335,280
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/zigman2/quotes/210293876/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 382.02
-3.44 -0.89%
Volume: 411,038
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
55.14
Dividend Yield
0.58%
Market Cap
$163.23 billion
Rev. per Employee
$555,391
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/zigman2/quotes/204547734/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 58.85
-2.59 -4.22%
Volume: 830,721
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$6.65 billion
Rev. per Employee
$233,478
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/zigman2/quotes/201417573/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 132.28
+0.83 +0.63%
Volume: 2.51M
July 7, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
28.69
Dividend Yield
1.33%
Market Cap
$21.93 billion
Rev. per Employee
$402,989
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Philip van Doorn covers various investment and industry topics. He has previously worked as a senior analyst at TheStreet.com. He also has experience in community banking and as a credit analyst at the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York.

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