By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch
The numbers: Americans paid higher prices for gasoline, used cars, medical treatment and recreation in October, but inflation more broadly remained low and fairly stable.
The consumer price index jumped 0.4% in October, with energy accounting for more than half the increase, the government said Wednesday.
Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a 0.3% advance.
The increase in the cost of living over the past 12 months edged up to 1.8% from 1.7%, but it’s still well below last year’s peak of nearly 3%.
Another closely watched measure of inflation that strips out food and energy advanced 0.2% last month. The yearly increase in the so-called core rate slipped to 2.3% from 2.4%.
What happened: Gas prices surged 3.7% in October, but Americans are still paying less to fill up now than they did a year ago. The cost of gas is about 7% lower.
Prices for medical care rose 1% in October, marking the biggest increase in more than three years.
The cost of health care has been on the rise again after a prolong period of stable prices. Some analysts worry it could feed into higher inflation, but others expect medical prices to taper off again.
The cost of recreation — ticket prices, cable TV and the like — also posted an unusually large increase last month. The 0.7% acceleration was the biggest gain since 1996.
Food prices rose in October, but the cost of dining out is rising much faster than eating in.
The cost of “food at home” — groceries — has climbed just 1% in the past year. Prices for “food away from home” have shot up 3.3%, perhaps reflecting the higher cost of labor. Many states have increased minimum wages.
Prices fell for clothes, household furnishings, new cars and trucks and airline fares.
The increase in rent was just 0.1%, the smallest since 2011. The cost of rent and housing have eased somewhat this year
After adjusting for inflation, hourly wages fell 0.2%. They have risen a solid 1.2% in the past year, however.
Big picture: Inflation has settled down to around 2% a year and isn’t budging much despite higher wages, the tightest labor market in 50 years and tariff-related price increases. Many economists expect inflation to creep higher and perhaps top 2% soon, but not go much higher than that.
The low rate of inflation has given the Federal Reserve the leeway to cut interest rates to extend an economic expansion now in its 11th year. The central bank would like prices to rise a bit higher for the good of the economy, but low inflation allows Americans to stretch their dollars further and buy more goods and services.
Strong consumer spending boosted gross domestic product in the spring and summer and is likely to remain robust during the holiday season.
What they are saying? “Amid little sustained upward pressure on prices, despite tariffs and a tighter labor market, the Fed will be in zero rush to unwind recent rate cuts,” said senior economist Sal Guatieri of BMO Capital Markets.
Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average /zigman2/quotes/210598065/realtime DJIA +1.20% and S&P 500 /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.83% fell slightly in Wednesday trades, but remained near record highs.
The 10-year Treasury yield /zigman2/quotes/211347051/realtime BX:TMUBMUSD10Y +1.45% was little changed at 1.88%.