By Paul Brandus, MarketWatch
AFP via Getty Images
This election is over. Trump is so far behind, he’s such a buffoon, he doesn’t have a chance.
Sound familiar? It should, because that’s what most people were saying back in the summer of 2016. How’d that work out?
Now the New York/Washington/Left Coast elites are at it again. Stick a fork in the Donald, they cackle — he’s done!
Is it different this time? Or can Trump shock the world again?
There are tons of reasons why Trump should not win. He’s failed on most of his big promises. There’s no wall. The national debt, which he vowed to eliminate (through trade deals) has exploded. Meantime, Iran and North Korea are more dangerous than ever .
He’s the Mount Everest of dishonesty. Not only has he not drained Washington’s swamp as promised, he’s made it swampier than ever. Numerous associates have been indicted, convicted, pled guilty, tossed in the can, abused the public trust, and more. Trump said he only hires “the very best,” and this is what we get?
‘I really don’t care do U?’
But guess what? Millions of Americans don’t seem to care. They’ve always known that Trump was a stooge. Here are three takeaways from 2016 exit polls conducted by CNN:
• Just 1 in 3 thought Trump was honest and trustworthy
• Less than 2 in 5 had a favorable opinion of him
• Barely a third — 35% — said he had the right temperament for the job
And he still got 63 million votes! This says as much about the American electorate as it does about Trump.
Lots of Trumpers know the president’s a jerk. They know he’s rude, crude, and embarrasses himself on Twitter. And yet they say he gets stuff done. He got tax cuts, two Supreme Court justices, and (through June 1) nearly 200 of his appointees have been put on the federal bench. Trump could lose in November but his mark on American society will endure well into mid-century through these judges. Trump’s base loves him for these things, and most of them—but not all—will vote for him again.
Narrow path to re-election
As Trump and four other presidents have shown, you don’t have to win the popular vote to win the presidency. He won’t win it this year, either. The question: Can he win the Electoral College?