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June 18, 2019, 4:26 p.m. EDT

S&P 500 ends within 1% of record ahead of pivotal Fed meeting

Trump tweets plan for ‘extended meeting’ with Chinese President Xi

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By Mark DeCambre, MarketWatch


AFP/Getty Images
Is a Sino-U.S. trade deal likely?
  • The S&P 500 closed within 1% of its record close on April 30 at 2.945.83

  • Trump’s tweet of a productive conversation with China’s Xi Jinping helped to juice stocks

  • ECB President Mario Draghi set the stage for a rally after hinting at further eurozone stimulus

The Dow and S&P 500 on Tuesday finished at their highest levels in about six weeks ahead of a key Federal Reserve decision, as President Donald Trump tweeted that he had a productive conversation with Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

How are benchmarks faring?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average /zigman2/quotes/210598065/realtime DJIA +0.10% rose 353.01 points, or 1.4%, at 26,465.54, putting the benchmark within 1.4% of its Oct. 3 all-time closing high, the S&P 500 index /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.02% advanced 28.08 points, or 1%, at 2,917.75, placing the index within 1% of its April 30 record at 2,945.83, while the Nasdaq Composite Index /zigman2/quotes/210598365/realtime COMP +0.17% climbed 108.86 points, or 1.4%, at 7,953.88, according to FactSet data.

The finish for all three benchmarks represented the highest closes since at least May 7, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

What’s driving the market?

U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said over Twitter that there will be an “extended meeting” with President Xi Jinping of China at the Group of 20 meeting in Japan. Reports from Bloomberg News also confirmed a plan for the two leaders to meet on the sidelines of the gathering of developed global leaders.

The tweet comes after U.S.-Chinese trade talks had stalled, and there had been doubt over whether an additional 25% tariff on more than $300 billion in Chinese goods would go into effect soon, further escalating the protracted Sino-American trade confrontation, which has hobbled global markets.

Read: ‘Currency war’ fears rise as Trump slams Draghi’s hint at more ECB stimulus

Equity indexes were already buoyant after ECB President Mario Draghi at an annual central bank conference in Sintra, Portugal said policy makers would consider “in the coming weeks” how to adapt its policy tools “commensurate to the severity of the risk” to the economic outlook, a signal that the central bank may be willing to lower rates. The central banker’s remarks sent the euro /zigman2/quotes/210561242/realtime/sampled EURUSD -0.1155% sliding against the U.S. dollar.

Draghi’s comments come as the Fed is set to deliver an important policy decision, with expectations that policy makers will indicate a willingness to reduce benchmark borrowing costs this year amid global trade tensions, a slowdown in the global economy as well as in the U.S. Investors want to see if those expectations match up to what the Fed is thinking, though no move on interest rates is expected at this week’s meeting.

What are strategists saying?

“The prospect of ‘additional stimulus’ jolted stock markets higher, and it appears the ECB is following in the Fed’s footsteps of using dovish language,” wrote David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets UK, in a Tuesday research note.

“If the Fed doesn’t appear sufficiently dovish – including taking the word “patient” out of their statement – or the G20 meeting doesn’t result in significant progress in the trade war with China, then the market could experience a sharp pullback,” wrote Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance, in a Tuesday research note.

Which stocks are in focus

Facebook Inc. shares /zigman2/quotes/205064656/composite FB -0.47% shares on Tuesday fell 0.3% after the social-media giant unveiled its cryptocurrency, Libra coin, offering users the ability to make payments on the internet.

Shares of Snapchat-parent Snap Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205087158/composite SNAP -0.70% rose nearly 10% after an analyst expressed increased optimism about the technology company’s latest attempts to monetize its platform and drive user growth.

How are other assets trading?

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index /zigman2/quotes/210598030/delayed HK:HSI +0.02% rose 1% and China’s Shanghai Composite Index /zigman2/quotes/210598127/delayed CN:SHCOMP -0.16% inching up less than 0.1%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 /zigman2/quotes/210597971/delayed JP:NIK -0.69% fell 0.7%, while in Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 /zigman2/quotes/210599654/delayed XX:SXXP +0.03% headed 1% higher after Draghi’s comments.

Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury note /zigman2/quotes/211347051/realtime BX:TMUBMUSD10Y +0.16% touched a 21-month low at 2.02%, while the comparable German debt /zigman2/quotes/211347112/realtime BX:TMBMKDE-10Y -0.76% , known as the bund, was trading around a record-low yield at negative 0.313%. Bond prices and yields move in the opposite direction.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures finished sharply higher, while gold futures /zigman2/quotes/211961159/delayed GCN19 +0.12% settled at a 14-month high, even as the U.S. dollar bucked up against the euro, with the ICE U.S. Dollar index /zigman2/quotes/210598269/delayed DXY +0.13% climbing 0.1% at 97.64.

/zigman2/quotes/210598065/realtime
US : Dow Jones Global
27,359.16
+27.13 +0.10%
Volume: 199.73M
July 15, 2019 5:11p
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/zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime
US : S&P US
3,014.30
+0.53 +0.02%
Volume: 1.60B
July 15, 2019 5:11p
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/zigman2/quotes/210598365/realtime
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
8,258.19
+14.04 +0.17%
Volume: 1.64M
July 15, 2019 5:16p
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/210561242/realtime/sampled
US : Tullet Prebon
1.1246
-0.0013 -0.1155%
Volume: 0.0000
July 16, 2019 4:04a
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/zigman2/quotes/205064656/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 203.91
-0.96 -0.47%
Volume: 16.03M
July 15, 2019 4:15p
P/E Ratio
30.29
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$582.06 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.57M
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/zigman2/quotes/205087158/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 15.50
-0.11 -0.70%
Volume: 16.92M
July 15, 2019 4:02p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$21.03 billion
Rev. per Employee
$409,309
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/zigman2/quotes/210598030/delayed
HK : Hong Kong Exchange
28,560.17
+5.29 +0.02%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 3:50p
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/zigman2/quotes/210598127/delayed
CN : China: Shanghai
2,937.62
-4.57 -0.16%
Volume: 13.18B
July 16, 2019 3:01p
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/zigman2/quotes/210597971/delayed
JP : Nikkei
21,535.25
-150.65 -0.69%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 3:15p
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/zigman2/quotes/210599654/delayed
XX : STOXX
387.85
+0.10 +0.03%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 9:49a
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/zigman2/quotes/211347051/realtime
add Add to watchlist BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
BX : Tullet Prebon
2.10
+0.0034 +0.16%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 4:01a
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/211347112/realtime
add Add to watchlist BX:TMBMKDE-10Y
BX : Tullet Prebon
-0.25
-0.0019 -0.76%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 10:04a
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/zigman2/quotes/211961159/delayed
US : U.S.: Nymex
$ 1,411.60
+1.70 +0.12%
Volume: 25.00
July 15, 2019 8:51a
loading...
/zigman2/quotes/210598269/delayed
US : U.S.: ICE Futures U.S.
97.06
+0.13 +0.13%
Volume: 0.00
July 16, 2019 3:54a
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Mark DeCambre is MarketWatch's markets editor. He is based in New York. Follow him on Twitter @mdecambre.

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