By Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
The pound came under slight pressure on Wednesday after a fresh YouGov poll predicted a slimmer-than-expected lead for Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party in a General Election that is now less than 24 hours away.
Sterling (XTUP:GBPUSD) slipped roughly 0.1% to $1.3152 from a level of $1.3155 seen late on Tuesday in North American trading. Losses were trimmed from a deeper loss seen at the start of trading. That cut into a gain for the FTSE 100 (FTSE:UK:UKX) , which gave up a gain of 0.4% to turn 0.2% lower to 7,197.97.
The blue-chip index benefits from a weaker pound, as many multinational companies listed on the index earn the bulk of their revenue outside the country. The poll was pressuring the FTSE 250 midcap index (FTSE:UK:MCX) (FTSE:UK:MCX) , which is heavy with U.K.-focused stocks.
A YouGov poll released late on Tuesday projected that the Conservative Party would win 339 seats in Parliament, versus 231 for Labour.
“The previous iteration of the poll showed the Conservatives with a lead of 68 seats so the forecast lead has been cut in half, which makes things a little more interesting ahead of the vote tomorrow,” said a team of strategists led by Craig Nicol at Deutsche Bank, in a note to clients.
“Markets for the first time need to worry about a hung parliament and what that might mean in terms of more uncertainty over the economy and Brexit,” Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at Markets.com, told clients. He said a hung parliament resulting from Thursday’s election would push sterling down to $1.27 and pressure those midcap stocks.
The pound has gained about 1.5% for the month of December and roughly 6% over the past couple of months as investors have increasingly priced in a victory for Johnson. Markets expect the Conservatives to push through a deal to exit from the European Union if Johnson’s party wins a majority.
Among stocks on the move in London, shares of JD Sports Fashion (LON:UK:JD) led the downside on the Stoxx Europe 600, with a drop of 9%. Those losses came after the sport-fashion retail group’s shareholder Pentland said it has reduced its stake, selling close to 24 million shares.
The share sale will allow Pentland to fund future investment activity and increase the free float to meet further interest from JD and other shareholders, said Stephen Rubin, chairman of Pentland Group, in an emailed statement. He said Pentland remains “committed to remaining a long-term majority shareholder in JD.”
Among those midcap stocks, shares of Stagecoach Group (LON:UK:SGC) jumped 2.7%. The transport company posted a 35% rise in first-half pretax profit after booking lower costs and declared an interim dividend.