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Dec. 14, 2019, 8:59 a.m. EST

These are Wall Street’s top dividend stock picks for 2020

Analysts expect this year’s good performance for the group to continue

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By Philip van Doorn, MarketWatch


Kinder Morgan Canada via Reuters
Williams Cos. is an oil and gas pipeline operator with a dividend yield of 6.55%.

U.S. stocks with attractive dividend yields have performed very well this year, for obvious reasons: Interest rates have declined at home and investors in Europe and Japan — where government and central-bank policies have pushed bond yields well into the negative — are desperate to find investments that will give them income. This means the money flow continues to support U.S. dividend stocks.

With 10-year U.S. Treasury notes /zigman2/quotes/211347051/realtime BX:TMUBMUSD10Y -3.04%  yielding 1.80%, the 1.90% dividend yield for the entire S&P 500 index /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.64%  looks pretty good, considering that you should also expect your share prices to rise over the long term.

A different performance trend for Wall Street’s favorite dividend stocks

In our recent series listing Wall Street analysts’ favorite large-cap, midcap and small-cap stocks for growth in 2020, we’ve seen a repeat pattern: Many of them are expected to bounce back after underperformance (relative to the broad indexes) this year. Mark Hulbert explained that the worst stocks in a given year tend to rebound the following year.

But with the dividend stocks we see something different — all but two of the 28 stocks listed below have had positive returns this year (with dividends reinvested), and all but six have seen double-digit returns.

So if you are interested in any of the stocks on the following list, keep in mind that you are not looking at a list of recovery plays. You’re in it for the dividend yield and hopefully a rising share price over the long term (meaning several years). Do your own research to determine whether you feel comfortable that the company’s strategy will keep it competitive for the next decade.

Wall Street’s favorite dividend stocks

Starting with the S&P 1500 Composite Index (made up of the S&P 500 /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.64% , the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index /zigman2/quotes/219506813/composite MID -0.91%  and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index /zigman2/quotes/210599868/delayed SML -0.51% ), there are 28 stocks with dividend yields of at least 2.50% as well as at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings among five or more analysts.

Here they are, sorted by dividend yield:

Company Ticker Dividend yield Share 'buy' ratings Share neutral ratings Share 'sell' ratings Closing price - Dec. 11 Consensus price target Implied 12-month upside potential Total return - 2019 through Dec. 11
Redwood Trust Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204538394/composite RWT 7.29% 100% 0% 0% $16.45 $18.00 9% 15%
Williams Cos. /zigman2/quotes/205467183/composite WMB 6.55% 79% 21% 0% $23.19 $27.59 19% 10%
Archrock Inc. /zigman2/quotes/206867288/composite AROC 6.39% 83% 17% 0% $9.08 $13.92 53% 28%
Schlumberger NV /zigman2/quotes/201012972/composite SLB 5.21% 81% 19% 0% $38.40 $42.28 10% 12%
Medical Properties Trust Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201233436/composite MPW 5.01% 75% 25% 0% $20.74 $22.08 6% 36%
Weyerhaeuser Co. /zigman2/quotes/200438029/composite WY 4.64% 77% 15% 8% $29.33 $31.95 9% 41%
Easterly Government Properties Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209079809/composite DEA 4.51% 83% 17% 0% $23.07 $24.50 6% 55%
F.N.B. Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209819908/composite FNB 3.96% 88% 12% 0% $12.13 $13.81 14% 29%
Valero Energy Corp. /zigman2/quotes/200735463/composite VLO 3.88% 80% 20% 0% $92.89 $108.78 17% 29%
Marathon Petroleum Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209634297/composite MPC 3.71% 89% 11% 0% $57.11 $80.65 41% 1%
Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201087859/composite EPRT 3.65% 80% 20% 0% $25.23 $26.25 4% 88%
Citizens Financial Group Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205410375/composite CFG 3.47% 76% 19% 5% $39.14 $41.30 6% 37%
Agree Realty Corp. /zigman2/quotes/200690829/composite ADC 3.30% 91% 9% 0% $70.83 $82.90 17% 23%
Dine Brands Global Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205160666/composite DIN 3.29% 100% 0% 0% $83.82 $96.50 15% 28%
Baker Hughes Co. Class A /zigman2/quotes/205323712/composite BKR 3.17% 86% 14% 0% $22.68 $28.75 27% 9%
Halliburton Co. /zigman2/quotes/210488727/composite HAL 3.08% 84% 16% 0% $23.38 $26.02 11% -9%
Cousins Properties Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207417523/composite CUZ 2.90% 83% 17% 0% $40.01 $44.40 11% 31%
Morgan Stanley /zigman2/quotes/209104354/composite MS 2.83% 77% 19% 4% $49.45 $53.60 8% 28%
Lincoln National Corp. /zigman2/quotes/205272400/composite LNC 2.77% 79% 21% 0% $57.71 $70.79 23% 15%
Home BancShares Inc. /zigman2/quotes/208559109/composite HOMB 2.74% 78% 22% 0% $18.96 $21.63 14% 19%
Merck & Co. Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite MRK 2.74% 81% 19% 0% $88.98 $97.50 10% 19%
ConocoPhillips /zigman2/quotes/207605056/composite COP 2.72% 91% 9% 0% $61.68 $73.63 19% 1%
Citigroup Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207741460/composite C 2.70% 83% 13% 4% $75.55 $84.25 12% 49%
TechnipFMC PLC /zigman2/quotes/207530935/composite FTI 2.69% 81% 16% 3% $19.34 $28.56 48% 1%
BlackRock Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207946232/composite BLK 2.67% 82% 18% 0% $493.91 $519.80 5% 30%
InterDigital Inc. /zigman2/quotes/200883544/composite IDCC 2.60% 100% 0% 0% $53.75 $92.60 72% -17%
American Assets Trust Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209605300/composite AAT 2.59% 83% 0% 17% $46.35 $50.50 9% 18%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. /zigman2/quotes/208854639/composite RCL 2.53% 75% 25% 0% $123.32 $140.47 14% 28%
Source: FactSet

You can click the tickers for more about each company, including business profiles and price ratios.

Don’t miss: These are the 20 best-performing stocks of the past decade, and some of them will surprise you

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Volume: 491.43M
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$ 6.83
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$ 20.82
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198.10
Dividend Yield
7.68%
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$25.83 billion
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$1.63M
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 7.21
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8.04%
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Rev. per Employee
$532,024
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 19.32
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2.59%
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$328,150
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 19.71
-0.09 -0.45%
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23.95
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5.48%
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$10.47 billion
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$10.19M
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 28.01
-0.34 -1.20%
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68.15
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0.00%
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Rev. per Employee
$803,871
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 25.34
-0.19 -0.74%
Volume: 324,790
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P/E Ratio
268.43
Dividend Yield
4.10%
Market Cap
$2.14 billion
Rev. per Employee
$4.77M
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/zigman2/quotes/209819908/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 7.46
-0.05 -0.67%
Volume: 1.13M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
7.58
Dividend Yield
6.43%
Market Cap
$2.43 billion
Rev. per Employee
$326,606
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/zigman2/quotes/200735463/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 51.48
-0.14 -0.27%
Volume: 3.92M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
19.97
Dividend Yield
7.61%
Market Cap
$21.05 billion
Rev. per Employee
$11.41M
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/zigman2/quotes/209634297/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 35.73
-0.70 -1.92%
Volume: 7.17M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
6.49%
Market Cap
$23.69 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.59M
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/zigman2/quotes/201087859/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 17.04
+0.41 +2.47%
Volume: 931,347
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
27.41
Dividend Yield
5.40%
Market Cap
$1.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
$5.39M
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/zigman2/quotes/205410375/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 24.76
-0.11 -0.44%
Volume: 3.52M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
9.91
Dividend Yield
6.18%
Market Cap
$10.61 billion
Rev. per Employee
$395,083
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/zigman2/quotes/200690829/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 68.25
-0.54 -0.78%
Volume: 289,524
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
35.11
Dividend Yield
3.52%
Market Cap
$3.70 billion
Rev. per Employee
$4.11M
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/zigman2/quotes/205160666/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 48.07
+1.03 +2.19%
Volume: 477,183
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Market Cap
$772.35 million
Rev. per Employee
$236,646
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/zigman2/quotes/205323712/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 16.77
+0.01 +0.06%
Volume: 5.19M
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P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
4.29%
Market Cap
$17.33 billion
Rev. per Employee
$346,621
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US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 14.82
-0.50 -3.26%
Volume: 11.39M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.21%
Market Cap
$13.46 billion
Rev. per Employee
$399,917
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/zigman2/quotes/207417523/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 31.66
0.00 0.00%
Volume: 1.04M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
45.90
Dividend Yield
3.79%
Market Cap
$4.70 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.85M
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/zigman2/quotes/209104354/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 49.45
-0.32 -0.64%
Volume: 5.70M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:02p
P/E Ratio
8.93
Dividend Yield
2.83%
Market Cap
$78.48 billion
Rev. per Employee
$831,709
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/zigman2/quotes/205272400/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 35.92
-3.08 -7.90%
Volume: 2.97M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
31.96
Dividend Yield
4.45%
Market Cap
$7.54 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.47M
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/zigman2/quotes/208559109/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 16.44
-0.19 -1.14%
Volume: 669,034
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
13.07
Dividend Yield
3.16%
Market Cap
$2.75 billion
Rev. per Employee
$434,061
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/zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 81.05
-0.59 -0.72%
Volume: 6.92M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:02p
P/E Ratio
19.73
Dividend Yield
3.01%
Market Cap
$206.07 billion
Rev. per Employee
$615,159
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/zigman2/quotes/207605056/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 38.05
+0.03 +0.08%
Volume: 6.59M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
18.67
Dividend Yield
4.42%
Market Cap
$40.78 billion
Rev. per Employee
$3.37M
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/zigman2/quotes/207741460/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 50.89
-0.15 -0.29%
Volume: 11.02M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:02p
P/E Ratio
8.82
Dividend Yield
4.01%
Market Cap
$106.26 billion
Rev. per Employee
$479,167
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/zigman2/quotes/207530935/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 8.38
-0.22 -2.56%
Volume: 3.28M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:02p
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.55%
Market Cap
$3.86 billion
Rev. per Employee
$339,268
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/zigman2/quotes/207946232/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 582.23
+0.08 +0.01%
Volume: 454,988
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
20.47
Dividend Yield
2.49%
Market Cap
$88.75 billion
Rev. per Employee
$952,953
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/zigman2/quotes/200883544/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 63.93
+0.66 +1.04%
Volume: 186,519
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
84.03
Dividend Yield
2.19%
Market Cap
$1.95 billion
Rev. per Employee
$788,215
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/zigman2/quotes/209605300/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 27.12
+0.13 +0.48%
Volume: 177,383
Aug. 6, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
35.60
Dividend Yield
3.69%
Market Cap
$1.62 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.74M
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/zigman2/quotes/208854639/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 51.10
+1.57 +3.17%
Volume: 8.73M
Aug. 6, 2020 4:03p
P/E Ratio
60.23
Dividend Yield
0.00%
Market Cap
$10.37 billion
Rev. per Employee
$123,297
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Philip van Doorn covers various investment and industry topics. He has previously worked as a senior analyst at TheStreet.com. He also has experience in community banking and as a credit analyst at the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York.

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