Investor Alert

Nov. 16, 2019, 1:17 p.m. EST

Tyson Foods says its Beyond Meat rival Raised & Rooted is now in 7,000 stores

Tyson Foods earnings guidance is ‘conservative,’ analysts say; shares up more than 7% in Tuesday trading

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By Tonya Garcia, MarketWatch

Getty Images
Like the nuggets pictured, Tyson’s Raised & Rooted nuggets aren’t made with chicken

Tyson Foods Inc. says plant-based nuggets from its Beyond Meat Inc. competitor Raised & Rooted are now in 7,000 stores, almost double the number of stores since the company’s last earnings, with an expanded presence at food-service companies.

In August, after the food company’s previous earnings report, it said it would have Raised & Rooted in 4,000 stores by the end of September.

In addition, blended Raised & Rooted burgers, made with a mix of Angus beef and plant protein, began shipping this month.

“Alternative protein projections remain strong, and we’re well-positioned to lead in this growing space,” said Chief Executive Noel White on the earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript.

Analysts have raised the possibility that Beyond Meat /zigman2/quotes/211617595/composite BYND +0.93% , the current leader in plant-based meat, could be overtaken by Tyson /zigman2/quotes/201117502/composite TSN -0.99% and other large food companies that have been increasingly making a push in meat alternatives.

Read: Beyond Meat is the plant-based meat leader now, but margins are at risk: UBS

Also: Beyond Meat initiated at sell as large competitors make gains in plant-based food

Tyson reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and sales that missed estimates, sending shares down in premarket trading. The company said sales volumes in the prepared food category were hurt by brand divestitures, including Sara Lee Frozen Bakery.

However, on the call, White said the company is “optimistic” about fiscal 2020.

“Currently we expect to meet or exceed our long-term target of high-single digit adjusted earnings per share growth,” he said.

The FactSet consensus for Tyson’s fiscal 2020 EPS is $6.74, implying a 23.4% increase year-over-year. For fiscal 2021, the FactSet guidance is for EPS of $7.60.

See: Dean Foods files for bankruptcy as oat milk and other alternatives gain popularity

The company did not provide an adjusted EPS target for fiscal 2020, due to the uncertainties stemming from the African swine fever outbreak in China and various trade agreements, wrote CFRA Research’s Arun Sundaram, noting White’s comments.

“We find this guidance very conservative and forecast Tyson can deliver about 20% adjusted EPS growth in fiscal 2020, driven by increased prices (especially in prepared foods), significant EBIT margin expansion in the chicken segment, cost savings and strong export demand due to reduced trade barriers and strong demand,” said the analyst.

CFRA rates Tyson Foods stock a buy with a $100 12-month price target.

Within just the past couple of weeks, China lifted its four-year-old ban on U.S. chicken imports, which sent shares of poultry companies like Sanderson Farms Inc. /zigman2/quotes/201978364/composite SAFM +1.29% soaring.

China is dealing with an African swine fever outbreak that has decimated pig herds and sent the price of pork through the roof.

Don’t miss: China’s pork crisis is bigger than you think

Also: The trade war is making U.S. pork producers squeal

“Exports to Mexico, Japan and China are picking up, and we’ve started seeing improved pricing because of supply shortages in China and other Asian countries affected by ASF,” White said on Tyson’s earnings call.

Overall, the company is expecting industry hog supplies to increase 3% and expects increased livestock costs, record export volumes and pricing improvement, the executive said.

Tyson stock was up 7.4% in Tuesday trading, and up 66.4% for the year to date. The S&P 500 index /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.18% has gained 23.3% for 2019 so far.

US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 138.53
+1.28 +0.93%
Volume: 2.10M
Dec. 2, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
Dividend Yield
Market Cap
$8.60 billion
Rev. per Employee
$ 66.10
-0.66 -0.99%
Volume: 3.90M
Dec. 2, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
Dividend Yield
Market Cap
$23.84 billion
Rev. per Employee
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 142.08
+1.81 +1.29%
Volume: 148,407
Dec. 2, 2020 4:00p
P/E Ratio
Dividend Yield
Market Cap
$3.12 billion
Rev. per Employee
+6.56 +0.18%
Volume: 2.37B
Dec. 2, 2020 5:07p

Tonya Garcia is a MarketWatch reporter covering retail and consumer-oriented companies. You can follow her on Twitter @tgarcianyc. She is based in New York.

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