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Stimulus Checks Alone May Not Spur Inflation. Here's What Could

  • Stimulus Checks Alone May Not Spur Inflation. Here's What Could Stimulus Checks Alone May Not Spur Inflation. Here's What Could 6:51
    What Does the $1.9 Trillion Covid-19 Stimulus Package Include? What Does the $1.9 Trillion Covid-19 Stimulus Package Include? 3:29
    Bull Case for Hedge Funds Bull Case for Hedge Funds 1:33
    Democratic Concerns Over Minimum-Wage Hike Complicate Covid Aid Bill Democratic Concerns Over Minimum-Wage Hike Complicate Covid Aid Bill 2:38
5:37 a.m. April 12, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow retreats slightly as stock-market investors ready for first-quarter earnings; Microsoft to buy Nuance in $16 billion deal U.S. stock benchmarks fell slightly early Monday as investors positioned for the start of earnings season, and braced for inflation data that could signal whether a surge in rising prices is in the works or set to be transitory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1% to around 33,754, the S&P 500 index retreated 0.1% at 4,123, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was trading 0.3% lower at 13,861. In corporate news, shares of Nuance Communications jumped in early trading after Microsoft Corp announced it will buy the speech-recognition company in a $16 billion deal. Markets also were parsing comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell who said the economy "seems to be at an inflection point," with strong growth coming "right now" and the weakness caused by the coronavirus pandemic in the rearview mirror. His comments were from a "60 Minutes" interview that aired on Sunday.
6:22 a.m. April 11, 2021 - By Quentin Fottrell
I’m a farmer in my late 30s and live a frugal lifestyle. My son has a disability. Should I pay extra on my mortgage — or save for retirement? ‘He has a disability that will likely mean he will be living with us for our entire lives’‘He has a disability that will likely mean he will be living with us for our entire lives.’
12:03 p.m. April 9, 2021 - By Sunny Oh
Dow, S&P 500 close at records to book solid weekly gainsU.S. stocks finished higher on Friday, capping a week of gains for major equity benchmarks as investors took comfort in dovish comments from senior Federal Reserve officials throughout this week. The S&P 500 gained 0.8% to finish near 4,129. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 0.9% to end around 33,803, based on preliminary numbers. The S&P 500 and Dow set an intraday record and finished at an all-time high on Friday. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5% to end at 13,900. For the week, the S&P 500 gained 2.7%, the Dow rose 2%, and the Nasdaq added 3.1%. Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said on Friday any rise in inflationary was unlikely to last, adding to the impression that the Fed was likely to look past the expected surge in price pressures this year. Amazon.com Inc. shares rose after the e-commerce giant defeated a unionization effort by workers at one of its warehouses in Alabama.
12:03 p.m. April 8, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks close up, Nasdaq gains 1% as Powell stays dovishU.S. stocks closed higher Thursday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell calmed investor fears about higher inflation leading to central-bank tightening. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 56 points, 0.2%, to close near 33,502. The S&P 500 added 17 points, 0.4%, to close near 4,097, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite surged 1%, 140 points, to touch 13,829. 10-year Treasury yields have stopped climbing higher, despite signs of a strengthening economy, Arone said. "That's given investors a bit of relief," he added and helped to boost technology stocks again. On Thursday, Powell repeated his belief that a rise in inflation this year would be temporary, keeping the Fed's easy-money policies in place for the near term.
9:37 a.m. April 8, 2021 - By Myra P. Saefong
Gold futures log highest finish since late FebruaryGold futures to mark their biggest daily gain of the month so far, and highest finish since late February. Prices for the precious metal extended their gains after said the central bank wanted to see actual evidence of a strong economy before it would even consider pulling back from its loose policy stance. June gold rose $16.60, or nearly 1%, to settle at $1,758.20 an ounce on Comex. That was the highest most-active contract settlement since Feb. 25, FactSet data show.
8:12 a.m. April 8, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Bullish momentum persists: S&P 500 (slightly) extends April breakout Focus: Communications services sector tags record highs, Apple’s stealth trendline breakout, XLC, AAPL, IBM, ON, NUANU.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday, vacillating ahead of scheduled remarks from the Federal Reserve Chairman. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has tagged its latest record high, though narrowly, while the Nasdaq Composite has extended an already-aggressive trendline breakout.
5:31 a.m. April 8, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks open mostly higher, tech in the lead, Powell on deckU.S. stock benchmarks started the Thursday session mostly higher, with the S&P 500 eyeing another record, one day after minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting did little to move markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped by 6 points to open near 33,442, while the broader S&P 500 added 12 points, 0.3%, to start near 4,092. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 108 points, 0.8%, to trade near 13,797. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak midday at an International Monetary Fund conference, but the focus on the central bank this week comes as bond yields have settled into a range that investors seem comfortable with. The headline figure for new filings for unemployment insurance ticked up slightly in the most recent week, the Labor Department said Thursday, but the measure of ongoing claims fell to its lowest in over a year.
5:00 a.m. April 8, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Why the S&P 500 is now overbought and looks ready to drop in the short term, according to this strategistThe S&P 500 eked out yet another record close on Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve reassured investors that it is in no rush to tighten fiscal policy — and some of that momentum is set to continue into Thursday. But it may not last for long.
12:09 p.m. April 7, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
S&P 500 books 18th record close of 2021 in listless trading day after Fed signals commitment to lower ratesThe S&P 500 on Wednesday eked out a record, its 18th of the year, but trading action was otherwise lackluster as minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting appeared to reaffirm a commitment to a lower-rate regime as the COVID-stricken labor market recovers. The S&P 500 index closed up 0.2% at around 4,079, on a preliminary basis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up less than 0.1% at about 33,446, to mark its third gain in four sessions, while the Nasdaq Composite Index edged less than 0.1% lower to around 13,669. "While generally acknowledging that the medium-term outlook for real GDP growth and employment had improved, participants continued to see the uncertainty surrounding that outlook as elevated," minutes from the Fed's March 16-17 meeting read. The central bank said that its "current guidance for the federal funds rate and asset purchases was serving the economy well." Projections from Fed members indicate that policy makers won't look to normalize rates until at 2023 at the earliest but segments of the market have pushed back against that notion, amid fears that inflation will pick up as the economy improves.
10:14 a.m. April 7, 2021 - By Myra P. Saefong
Gold prices mark first loss in 5 sessionsGold futures , easing back after posting gains in each of the past four trading sessions. Prices for the metal showed little reaction after . The minutes showed that members of the Federal Open Market Committee agreed that the COVID-19 pandemic was "causing tremendous human and economic hardship" across the U.S. and the world, and noted that "indicators of economic activity and employment had turned up recently, although the sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic remained weak." June gold was at $1,741.90 an ounce in electronic trading. It had ended the session down $1.40, or nearly 0.1%, at $1,741.60 an ounce.
7:58 a.m. April 7, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Bull trend confirmed: S&P 500 tags technical target (4,085) Focus: Europe digests break to 12-year highs, IEV, ASML, ADI, EMR, YUMU.S. stocks are mixed early Wednesday, vacillating ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, due out this afternoon. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Dow industrials are digesting decisive breaks to record territory, while the Nasdaq Composite has sustained an aggressive trendline breakout.
5:37 a.m. April 7, 2021 - By Sunny Oh
Stocks fight for direction at opening bell ahead of Fed minutesU.S. stocks flipped between small gains and losses at the start of Wednesday's session ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's minutes in the afternoon. The S&P 500 rose 0.1% to 4,076. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 58 points, or 0.2%, to 33,488. The Nasdaq Composite slid 0.3% to 13,658. Investors will look to parse an account of the Fed's two-day meeting on March 16-17, when policy makers raised their forecasts for U.S. economic growth and inflation, but emphasized that accommodative monetary policy would stay in place until 2023. Shares of Target were virtually unchanged after the retailer announced a commitment to spend more than $2 billion with Black-owned businesses by the end of 2025.
5:34 a.m. April 3, 2021 - By Quentin Fottrell
‘Frugality will continue to reign’: Eager to save hundreds of dollars, Americans flock to one type of product A new report from the Conference Board tracks three distinct trendsA new report from the Conference Board tracks three distinct trends.
4:42 a.m. April 2, 2021 - By Sunny Oh
Treasury yields tick higher after jobs reportU.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs report on Friday. The Labor Department said the U.S. economy had added 916,000 jobs in March, above the forecast of 675,000, pushing the unemployment rate down to 6% from 6.2%. The 10-year Treasury note yield rose 1.6 basis points 1.695%, while the 2-year note rate was up a basis point to 0.170%. The 30-year bond yield gained 0.8 basis point to 2.348%. Bond prices move inversely to yields. A faster pace of job gains will add to the growing impression of a U.S. economy gaining steam, and potentially push investors to bring forward the timing of the Federal Reserve's eventual pullback from its accommodative policies.
2:29 p.m. March 29, 2021 - By Quentin Fottrell
Millions of Americans live paycheck to paycheck Roughly half of Americans say they have saved less than $500 in the past 3 monthsRoughly half of Americans say they have saved less than $500 in the past 3 months.
5:00 a.m. March 27, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Friday’s jobs report will be released to a closed stock market—that’s only occurred 12 times since 1980Good Friday is next week and markets will be closed as per usual. However, what will be unusual is that the closure of financial markets in the U.S., and other parts of the world, comes as the government is slated to release a key report on employment in the middle of a pandemic.
1:00 p.m. March 26, 2021 - By MarketWatch
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5:00 a.m. March 26, 2021 - By MarketWatch
The housing market already is on fire, and inflation will soon follow, this former Morgan Stanley economist arguesInflation is set to surge just as the Federal Reserve thinks it will recede.
1:23 p.m. March 25, 2021 - By Andrew Keshner
Real-estate agents are rethinking decades of advice on pools and how COVID-19 rewrote American shopping lists Thursday’s Personal Finance Stories Thursday’s Personal Finance StoriesThursday’s Personal Finance Stories.
12:01 p.m. March 25, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks reverse early losses to close higherU.S. stocks staged a sharp rebound Thursday to end the session higher as investors looked past uncertain market fundamentals and technical positioning issues that have prompted several weeks of selling. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 201 points, 0.6%, to close near 32,621, while the S&P 500 added about 21 points or 0.5%, according to preliminary estimates, ending near 3,910. The Nasdaq Composite index gained 16 points, 0.1%, finishing near 12,978. Stocks have slumped recently as bond yields spiked, and as investors tried to determine how to read promises from the Federal Reserve to keep monetary policy accommodative. Investors are also trying to make sense of the activities of retail day-traders. Some of their favorite stocks, including GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. surged on Thursday.
10:17 a.m. March 24, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Market rotation persists, S&P 500 capped by the breakdown point Focus: Small- and mid-caps extend March downturn, Nasdaq capped by 50-day averageU.S. stocks are mixed Wednesday, vacillating as Treasury yields continue to stabilize in the wake of largely uneventful Federal Reserve policy remarks. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 remains capped by its breakdown point (3,950) amid still largely range-bound price action as market rotation persists.
10:06 a.m. March 24, 2021 - By Greg Robb
Fed's Williams doesn't expect inflation pressures building over next couple of yearsThe U.S. economy will recover "really nicely" over the next couple of years, but this doesn't mean inflation pressures will build, said New York Fed President John Williams on Wednesday. "I don't see inflationary pressures really building during that time," Williams said during a webinar sponsored by Syracuse University. He noted that inflation rates around the world are very low. In addition, there are still 9 million fewer jobs in the U.S. economy than at the start of the pandemic. If inflation does surprise to the upside, the Fed has the tools to get inflation down near the Fed's 2% annual goal, Williams said.
8:00 a.m. March 24, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Dow trades higher after worst day in 3 weeksU.S. stocks gained Wednesday as investors looked past rising cases of COVID in Europe and awaited another round of comments from Federal Reserve speakers, headlined by a second day of testimony from Chairman Jerome Powell on the health of the economy amid the COVID pandemic.
12:06 p.m. March 23, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow suffers worst day in about 3 weeks and oil ends in correction territory as investors parse Yellen-Powell testimony U.S. stocks finished solidly lower Tuesday as the first of two days of testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on the state of the government's efforts to limit the economic damage from the COVID-19 pandemic concluded without any major surprises. However, rising worries about extended lockdowns in Europe due to the COVID pandemic helped to drive risk appetite lower and push crude-oil futures into a correcton, defined as a decline of at least 10% from a recent peak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended by about 335 points, or 1%, lower at 32,395, marking its worst day since March 4. The S&P 500 index closed off 0.8% to about 3,910, powered lower by declines in industrials and materials , while the Nasdaq Composite Index finished the session 1.1% lower at about 13,228. The slide in stocks acclerated at the end of the session and came even as the 10-year Treasury note yield fell nearly 6 basis points to 1.63%. Bond prices rise as yields fall.
10:29 a.m. March 23, 2021 - MarketWatch.com
Powell, Yellen face House panel amid concerns over deficit, inflation: live blog Biden’s reported $3 trillion package for infrastructure expected to dominate hearingFed Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen testify together for the first time Tuesday before the House Financial Services panel.
9:40 a.m. March 23, 2021 - By Myra P. Saefong
Gold prices settle lower as investors mull congressional testimony from Powell, YellenGold futures , at their lowest in over a week, pressured by strength in the U.S. dollar. Investors showed little reaction as they listened to congressional on the outlook for economic policy. The Fed "appears comfortable with the recent rise in 10-year yields as a tool to temper inflationary pressures over the long term. This has kept a lid on gold," said Jeff Wright, chief investment officer at Wolfpack Capital. However, "given the amount of stimulus, gold should strengthen," he said. Higher spending can pressure the dollar, providing support for dollar-denominated prices of gold. The Biden administration is of spending on infrastructure, education and fighting climate change. For now, Wright said gold is currently "range bound" at $1,600 to $1,800, but "with a bias towards downside in short term." On Tuesday, April gold fell $13, or nearly 0.8%, to settle at $1,725.10 an ounce.
8:00 a.m. March 23, 2021 - By MarketWatch
A revolutionary ‘gray army’ of older workers is fighting our youth-obsessed culture — and we’ll all benefit if they winThe war against ageism will create career opportunities and a better work-life balance.
5:31 a.m. March 23, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks slump at the open Tuesday as fresh lockdowns sweep the globeU.S. stocks opened lower Tuesday as a worsening COVID-19 outlook prompted renewed lockdowns around the globe. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 103 points, 0.3%, to open near 32,628, while the S&P 500 was off 6 points, 0.2%, near 3,934. The tech-concentrated Nasdaq Composite index traded near unchanged at about 13,373. The Nasdaq has taken the brunt of selling in recent weeks as bond yields spiked and investors increasingly anticipated a return to normalcy that would drive demand for out-of-favor stocks, rather than the work-from-home plays that benefitted from 2020's lockdowns. On Tuesday, Germany imposed additional lockdown measures, and European stocks fell. On Tuesday, investors will hear from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who will tell the House Financial Services Committee that the U.S. economy is recovering, but not yet completely back to normal.
12:30 p.m. March 22, 2021 - By Greg Robb
Powell says U.S. economy 'looks to be strengthening'The U.S. economy has recovered more quickly than generally expected "and looks to be strengthening," said Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in remarks released on Monday. Consumer spending, housing, business investment and manufacturing productions have all picked up, he noted. This good news is due to the unprecedented support from Congress and the central bank in fighting COVID, Powell said. "But the recovery is far from complete, so, at the Fed, we will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as long as it takes," he said. The path of the economy still depends on the pandemic, Powell added. He made the comments in testimony to be delivered Tuesday to a House Financial Services Committee hearing on the government's response to COVID. It is the panel's custom to release text of testimony on the night before a hearing.
12:01 p.m. March 22, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks notch gains as bond yields stay subduedU.S. stocks closed higher Monday as bond yields retreated, giving investors some space to snap up tech shares that have seemed less attractive in the face of higher interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 102 points, 0.3%, to close near 32,730, according to preliminary estimates, while the S&P 500 gained 27 points, 0.7%, to end near 3,941. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.2% or about 162 points, to about 13,378. Investors have been concerned that a big slug of fiscal spending will hit the economy just as the Federal Reserve may start to consider when to pull back on the easy monetary policy it enacted at the start of the coronavirus crisis. Shares of Applied Materials Inc. jumped more than 3% Monday, after the semiconductor equipment maker said it plans to buy back $7.5 billion of its stock.
12:03 p.m. March 19, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Dow ends lower as Fed decision on bank capital sinks financial stocksStocks finished mixed Friday, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost ground as a decision by the Federal Reserve not to extend a temporary rule relaxing bank capital requirements pressured the financial sector. The Dow lost around 234 points, or 0.7%, to close near 32,628, according to preliminary figures. The S&P 500 fell around 3 points, or 0.1%, to 3,912, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite bounced back from earlier weakness to rise about 99 points, or 0.8%, to end near 13,215. Bank stocks fell, with JPMorgan Chase & Co. losing 1.6%, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. shed 1.1%. For the week, the Dow fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each lost 0.8%.
8:20 a.m. March 19, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting another bull-trend pullback, S&P 500 tags familiar support Focus: Basic materials assert bull flag, XLB, WHR, FTNT, USB, FOURU.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, vacillating in the wake of this week’s Federal Reserve policy actions. Against this backdrop, the bigger-picture backdrop remains bullish, on balance, though the prevailing market technicals are not one-size-fits-all.
8:00 a.m. March 19, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Dow down 150 points as bank stocks fall after Fed decision on capital requirements U.S. stocks are mixed midday Friday, after slumping early after the Federal Reserve said it would not extend temporary relief from capital-requirement rules for banks.
6:19 a.m. March 19, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Bank ETFs slide on surprise Fed decisionExchange-traded funds with exposure to the financial sector slipped on Friday after the Federal Reserve said it would not extend a measure of bank regulatory relief. The Invesco KWB Bank ETF was down 2.2% mid-morning, and the First Trust Nasdaq Bank ETF and the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund each fell 1.7%. Regional-bank funds fared the same: the iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF gave up 1.7%. The Fed's decision means that starting on April 1, big banks will have to include Treasurys in calculation of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio. An exemption to that rule was put in place in the aftermath of the coronavirus market shocks.
5:31 a.m. March 19, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks open mixed after Fed's surprise decision on bank capitalU.S. stock benchmarks opened mostly lower Friday as investors digested news that the Federal Reserve would not extend bank regulatory relief. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 48 points or 0.2% to open near 32,815, while the S&P 500 was down 2 points near 3,914 . The Nasdaq Composite ticked up 18 points, 0.1%, to trade near 13,134. Stock-index futures had traded higher in the premarket session as bond yields took a leg lower, but the central bank's announcement sent yields higher. Shares of FedEx Corporation spiked at the open Friday after it reported quarterly results that trounced Wall Street expectations.
3:20 p.m. March 18, 2021 - By Jacob Passy
A ray of hope for people worried they missed a valuable tax break and Biden administration to cancel student debt held by scammed borrowers Thursday's top personal finance stories Thursday's top personal finance storiesThursday's top personal finance stories
9:44 a.m. March 18, 2021 - By Myra P. Saefong
Gold gives up early declines to finish higherGold futures gave up early declines on for the session as investors continued to digest Wednesday's comments from the Federal Reserve and the central bank's chairman, Jerome Powell. Gold likely moved up "due to market noise and some haven flows, with tech stocks being down," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at ThinkMarkets. The Nasdaq Composite as a appeared to fuel another round of rotation into sectors more sensitive to the economic cycle. Still, Razaqzada said gold may not be able to hold its gains, given the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields. April gold rose $5.40, or 0.3%, to settle at $1,732.50 an ounce after tapping an intraday low at $1,716.60.
8:18 a.m. March 18, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting market rotation: Dow industrials take flight amid surging Treasury yields Focus: 10-year yield continues to take flight, TNX, NDAQ, DHI, XPO, VNOMU.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday, vacillating as market rotation persists after the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday policy statement. Against this backdrop, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has extended a break atop the 33,000 mark, as the Nasdaq Composite vies to simply maintain a posture atop its 50-day moving average.
8:00 a.m. March 18, 2021 - By MarketWatch
Philly Fed factory index soars to highest level in nearly 50 yearsThe Philadelphia Fed's business activity index jumped to 51.8 in March from 23.1 in the prior month, It's the highest reading in nearly 50 years.
5:31 a.m. March 18, 2021 - By Andrea Riquier
Stocks wilt as bond yields surge after Fed affirms easy-money stanceU.S. stocks opened lower Thursday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down sharply, as bond yields spiked one day after a pivotal meeting of the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 68 points, 0.2%, to open near 32,947, while the S&P 500 lost 26 points, 0.7%, to start trading near 3,948. The Nasdaq Composite, which has taken the brunt of selling as bond yields have surged, lost 177 points, 1.3%, near 13,348. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note shot up about 10 basis points Thursday morning, one day after the central bank pledged to keep monetary policy easy even if economic growth and inflation run a bit hotter than usual. On Thursday, the Philadelphia Fed's factory gauge hit its highest reading in 50 years.
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