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What a Global Economic Slowdown Means for the U.S.

  • What a Global Economic Slowdown Means for the U.S. What a Global Economic Slowdown Means for the U.S. 1:45
7:30 a.m. Sept. 19, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a bullish reversal, S&P 500 approaches record high after the Fed Focus: Financials and regional banks challenge major resistance, Apple maintains the breakout point, XLF, KRE, AAPL, AMBA, SLBU.S. stocks are higher early Thursday, rising after the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday interest rate cut, and following a (perhaps paradoxical) solid batch of economic data. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has nailed the September peak (3,020.74) early Thursday, a move placing its record close (3,025.86) and absolute record peak (3,027.98) firmly within striking distance.
5:44 a.m. Sept. 19, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
In 10 years, your best bet is still the S&P 500, says Bernstein Critical information for the U.S. trading dayOur call of the day from Bernstein Research that says 10 years from now, you’ll still be better off in equities, whether it hits 4,000 or 8,000.
7:04 a.m. Sept. 18, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
S&P 500 asserts (bullish) holding pattern ahead of the Fed Focus: Homebuilders and retail sector digest September breakouts, Intel rises from double bottom, XHB, XRT, INTC, TWTR, PKG, KEYSU.S. stocks are lower early Wednesday, pressured modestly ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy statement, due out this afternoon. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has asserted a holding pattern — underpinned by first support (2,989) — digesting the decisive early-September breakout.
6:08 a.m. Sept. 18, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
Investors are too complacent about inflation and low interest rates, says Schwab strategist Critical information for the U.S. trading dayOur call of the day from Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, worries investors are being a bit too casual about one aspect of the economy right now.
1:11 a.m. Sept. 18, 2019 - By Steve Goldstein
European stocks nudge higher ahead of Fed, led by banks and insurersEuropean stocks on Wednesday leaned higher ahead of a key U.S. interest rate decision.
8:43 a.m. Sept. 17, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Bull trend absorbs oil shock, S&P 500 maintains first support Focus: Rising energy prices and interest rates, Crude oil and 10-year yield signal bullish trend shifts, USO, TNX, XOP, HES, WLK, SPWRTechnically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have weathered a September oil shock against a still comfortably bullish bigger-picture backdrop, writes Michael Ashbaugh.
7:57 a.m. Sept. 17, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Bull trend absorbs oil shock, S&P 500 maintains first support Focus: Rising energy prices and interest rates, Crude oil and 10-year yield signal bullish trend shifts, USO, TNX, XOP, HES, WLK, SPWRTechnically speaking, the U.S. benchmarks’ September price action remains comfortably bullish. Though each big three benchmark has recently topped slightly under record territory, the prevailing pullback from the September peak has registered as orderly, inflicting limited, if any, true technical damage.
5:09 a.m. Sept. 17, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
Fund managers have boosted U.S. stock allocations by most in a year, survey findsThe September Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Manager survey shows allocation to U.S. equities saw the biggest monthly increase since June 2018
4:17 a.m. Sept. 17, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
The S&P 500 should be 13% lower because a recession is coming, warns Deutsche Bank Critical information for the U.S. trading dayA U.S. recession is on the doorstep but the stock market is ignoring it, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist Binky Chadha warns
11:47 a.m. Sept. 16, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Why the Saudi oil attack is a ‘big deal’ that could be a ‘game changer’ in stock markets and crude prices S&P Global Platts forecasts $5 or $10/bbl. spike in Brent oil pricesAn intensifying Middle East conflict is threatening to throw the world’s energy market into disarray after a weekend drone attack destroyed parts of Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq plant — one of the world’s largest processors of oil.
7:56 a.m. Sept. 16, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
S&P 500 pulls in modestly amid oil shock, Small-caps venture atop major resistance Focus: Energy sectors take flight amid geopolitical conflict, JP Morgan Chase tags all-time high, XLE, XOP, XLB, JPM, LULU, GWREU.S. stocks are generally lower early Monday, pressured amid a crude-oil price shock — a single-day spike exceeding 10% intraday — after a weekend attack on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil facilities erased about one half of the country’s daily production. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has initially maintained a posture atop near-term support (2,989) while the Russell 2000 Index is comfortably higher early Monday, venturing atop major resistance.
12:27 p.m. Sept. 14, 2019 - By Chris Matthews
Why the coming recession could force the Federal Reserve to swap greenbacks for digital dollars Paper bank notes are being upgraded for a digital future around the worldPaper bank notes are being upgraded for a digital future around the world.
9:45 a.m. Sept. 14, 2019 - By Philip van Doorn
3 dividend stock picks with yields as high as 12% from a manager who doesn’t focus on dividends Fabio Paolini of Pictet Asset Management says a stock’s dividend offers no indication of its valueFabio Paolini of Pictet Asset Management says a stock’s dividend offers no indication of its value.
8:23 p.m. Sept. 13, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
Global growth may soar and investors aren’t ready, says Morgan Stanley Critical information for the U.S. trading dayAndrew Sheets, chief cross-asset strategist at Morgan Stanley, who says the global economy may be about to surprise the world and investors are not ready for it.
7:46 a.m. Sept. 13, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
S&P 500 approaches uncharted territory, Tandem global-market rally accelerates Focus: Global-market rally accelerates — Japan takes flight, Europe clears key trendline, China challenges 200-day average, EWJ, FXI, IEV, XOP, NOV, BABAU.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, treading water after a solid batch of economic data and amid the latest signs of waning trade tensions. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has sustained a rally atop the 3,000 mark, and remains firmly within striking distance of uncharted territory.
5:34 a.m. Sept. 13, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
Stocks have ‘sufficient tailwind’ to climb higher, so keep buying, Credit Suisse advises Critical information for the U.S. trading dayOur call of the day is from Credit Suisse’s global equity strategist Michael Strobaek who is not fazed by the S&P 500’s 20% gain this year. He says it’s time to buy more stocks.
9:08 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow, S&P 500 stand less than 0.2% from July record closes as stock market touches intraday highU.S. stocks touched their best level of the session Thursday afternoon, putting key benchmarks withing shouting distance from records last hit in July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.6% at 27,306.73, which is just 0.2% shy of its July 15 record at 27,359.16, while the S&P 500 index stood 0.6% higher near a session peak at 3,020.69, about 0.2% from its record at 3.025.86 hit on July 26.
8:58 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By William Watts
ECB cuts key rate, relaunches QE to shore up eurozone economy Euro dips to 2-year low versus U.S. dollar after ECB move, then recoversThe European Central Bank delves deep into its toolbox, cutting its deposit rate further into negative territory, launching a new round of monthly bond purchases and taking other steps to stimulate a flagging eurozone economy.
7:48 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a bull-flag breakout, S&P 500 knifes within view of record high (3,028) Focus: Industrials spike to major resistance, Retail sector clears key trendline, Boeing takes flight, Apple extends triangle breakout, XLI, XRT, BA, AAPL, NVROU.S. stocks are higher early Thursday, rising amid signs of potential China-U.S. trade progress and following more aggressive-than-expected ECB stimulus measures. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has staged a bull-flag breakout, rising within striking distance of record highs from a previously tight range.
6:37 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow and broader market stage early morning jump on Sino-American trade reportsU.S. stocks jumped early Thursday, driving the three main benchmarks to session highs amid hope of a near-term resolution between Beijing and Washington. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 116 points, or 0.4%, to 27,256, the S&P 500 index advanced 0.5% at 3,016, while the Nasdaq Composite Index traded 0.8% higher at 8,232. Gains for U.S. stocks coincided with a report from , which cited unnamed Trump administration officials, indicating that the U.S. and China have discussed offering a limited trade agreement to China that could forestall some U.S. tariffs in exchange for Chinese commitments on intellectual property and agricultural purchases. The Bloomberg report comes amid a separate report from , which said China is aiming to "narrow the scope of its negotiations with the U.S.," putting discussions about intellectual property rights on a separate track in a bid to achieve a trade resolution in some form. The news reports come after President Donald Trump late Wednesday increasing tariffs until Oct. 15 on China products that were set to increase on Oct. 1, as a conciliatory act and avoid an increase on the 70th birthday of the formation of the People's Republic on Oct. 1. Separate reports implied that China was set to buy soybeans and pork from the U.S. again. American and Chinese representatives are slated to meet in early October to restart stalled trade negotiations and avert any further escalation of animosities between the economic superpowers.
5:37 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow opens higher, set for longest win streak in a year as ECB launches major stimulus packageU.S. stocks opened modestly higher Thursday morning as market bulls appeared emboldened by easy-money policies enacted by the European Central and hope that it could influence the Fed. The European Central Bank cut its deposit rate from negative 0.4% to negative 0.5%, while announcing it would begin open-ended purchasing of long-term government bonds at a pace of €20 billion a month in an effort to further reduce long-term interest rates, in a bid to boost the sluggish eurozone economy. The central bank said rates would remain at "present or lower levels" until the inflation outlook "robustly" converges with its target of just below 2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 66 points, or 0.3%, at 27,207, while the S&P 500 index advanced 0.4% to 3,011 and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.6% to 8,217. All three benchmarks stand within shouting distance of all-time records as investors bet that the ECB's move will influence the Federal Reserve, which gathers next week to decide on domestic monetary policy. Stocks had been headed higher before the ECB moves, after President Donald Trump said tariff hikes-from 25% to 30%-that were scheduled to take effect Oct. 1 will now go into effect Oct. 15. The president attributed the "gesture of goodwill", as he described it via Twitter, to the People's Republic's 70th anniversary commencing on Oct. 1. and came at the request of China's chief trade negotiator Vice Premier Liu He.
5:07 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Tomi Kilgore
Bank stocks dive as ECB's restart of QE tanks Treasury yieldsShares of bank and other financial stocks suffered broad declines in premarket trading Thursday, after the by the European Central Bank sent U.S. Treasury yields sliding. The SPDR Financial Select Sector ETF fell 0.8% in premarket trading. Among the more active components, shares of Bank of America Corp. fell 1.2%, Citigroup Inc. shed 1.2%, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. lost 1.0%, Wells Fargo & Co. declined 0.8% and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. gave up 0.7%. After the ECB's moves, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note declined 6.2 basis points to 1.671%. Lower longer-term yields can hurt bank profits, as it narrows the spread between what banks earn on longer-term assets, such as loans, that are funded with shorter-term liabilities. The financial ETF has gained 18.1% year to date through Wednesday while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied 16.3%.
1:38 a.m. Sept. 12, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
FTSE 100 struggles higher; miners lifted on signs of trade-war tensions cooling British American Tobacco, Wm Morrison among top moversHelping out were signs of easing tensions between the U.S. and China, after President Donald Trump tweeted that he will delay implementing higher tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese goods for two weeks as a “gesture of good will.”
11:15 p.m. Sept. 11, 2019 - By Steve Goldstein
The ECB decision is coming — here’s what to expect ECB rate cut expected to be announced ThursdayIf there’s one thing that observers agree on with respect to Thursday’s European Central Bank meeting, it’s that the central bank will announcing a series of loosening measures that won’t really make much of a difference to the struggling European economy.
8:00 a.m. Sept. 11, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
S&P 500 nails first support, rallies amid bullish sector rotation Focus: 10-year yield approaches major test (50-DMA), Semiconductors within view of uncharted territory, TNX, SMH, FIVE, BLDR, SINA, GTHXU.S. stocks are higher early Wednesday, rising amid rotational, and increasingly bullish, September price action. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has asserted a mid-month bull flag, rising early Wednesday from a successful test of first support (2,960).
5:34 a.m. Sept. 11, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow struggles to rise at the open, aims for 6th straight gain on China-U.S. trade optimismU.S. stock indexes on Wednesday fought to climb as the Dow attempted to notch a sixth consecutive advance after China exempted some American goods from coming tariffs, signaling some further easing in tensions between Beijing and Washington on international trade. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat at 26,900, with a sixth straight gain matching the blue chips longest win streak since the period ended June 10. The S&P 500 index edged less than a point lower to 2,977, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced less than 0.1% to 8,089. China said Wednesday that higher tariffs wouldn't be levied against some U.S. imports for a year, starting Sept. 17, and that it would review more goods for exemption. Stocks also climbed as yields for the 10-year Treasury rate gained to 1.75%, implying that investors were shifting out of the safety of government bonds in favor of riskier stocks. Bond yields climb as prices fall.
5:30 a.m. Sept. 11, 2019 - By Barbara Kollmeyer
Shift into value stocks could fuel a solid rally, says J.P. Morgan Critical information for the U.S. trading dayJ.P. Morgan quant strategists Marko Kolanovic and Bram Kaplan say this switch to value stocks seen lately could be promising.
1:15 a.m. Sept. 11, 2019 - By Steve Goldstein
Europe stocks higher on China move to relax tariffs; LSE rallies on bidEurope stocks on Wednesday advanced as a signal of easing tensions between the U.S. and China helped bid equities higher ahead of a critical central bank decision.
12:09 p.m. Sept. 10, 2019 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow notches 5th straight gain, marks longest win streak in 3 months; small-caps outperformU.S. stock benchmarks closed mostly higher Tuesday, delivering a late-session jolt higher, backed by gains in energy and materials as bond yields jumped. Meanwhile, small-capitalization stocks delivered a marked outperformance against large caps, underscoring a rotation that appeared to be playing out in the market over the past few sessions, away from higher momentum stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished nearly 74 points at 26,909, booking a fifth straight gain, which would be its best streak since a six-session climb ended June 10. The S&P 500 index closed less than 0.1% higher at 2,979, buoyed by a surge in the energy sector , up 1.3%, and materials , which gained 1%, offsetting selling in information tech , down 0.5%, and consumer-staples shares , off 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite Index finished down less than 0.1% to close at 8,084. All three benchmarks took a late burst higher in the final minutes of Tuesday trade. Separately, the small-capitalization oriented Russell 2000 index climbed over 1% on the day, surpassing the other major benchmarks. The moves come as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed more than 10 basis points to 1.72%. Bond yields rise as prices fall. In corporate news, Apple Inc. (TICKER:AAPL) shares gained 2.5% as it announced new model iPhones and other products at its annual launch event Tuesday afternoon.
8:38 a.m. Sept. 10, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a bullish technical tilt, S&P 500 sustains September breakout Focus: Crude oil signals bullish trend shift, Financials and transports extend recovery attempt, USO, XLF, IYT, FDX, KSU, MOBLTechnically speaking, the big three U.S. benchmarks are digesting potentially consequential September breakouts, writes Michael Ashbaugh.
8:00 a.m. Sept. 10, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a bullish technical tilt, S&P 500 sustains September breakout Focus: Crude oil signals bullish trend shift, Financials and transports extend recovery attempt, USO, XLF, IYT, FDX, KSU, MOBLTechnically speaking, the big three U.S. benchmarks continue to digest potentially consequential September breakouts. On a headline basis, each index has knifed from its jagged August range — by a margin initially exceeding 1% — and the subsequent selling pressure has been flat, preserving a bullish intermediate-term bias.
1:22 a.m. Sept. 10, 2019 - By Steve Goldstein
Europe stocks drift lower as EdF stumbles on nuclear faultEuropean stocks declined on Tuesday ahead of key central bank and trade meetings, with shares of France’s nuclear jewel stumbling to a two-year low after revealing trouble at a subsidiary.
7:40 a.m. Sept. 9, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a sustained breakout, S&P 500 digests September spike from the range Focus: Apple tags 10-month closing high amid triangle breakout, AAPL, IART, AMED, CDAY, ZUMZU.S. stocks are higher early Monday, rising modestly as the major benchmarks digest a respectable early-September rally. Consider that each big three U.S. benchmark gapped sharply atop major resistance last week, and the subsequent selling pressure has thus far registered as flat, the earmarks of a valid breakout.
12:16 p.m. Sept. 7, 2019 - By Tom Perrotta
Serena aims to match Margaret Court’s Grand Slam record at U.S. Open 19-year-old Bianca Andreescu aims to play spoilerEveryone believes this is finally the moment for Serena Williams to win her record-tying 24th major title.
5:22 a.m. Sept. 7, 2019 - Associated Press
‘Hour of darkness’ for Bahamas; 43 dead, with toll to riseSearch and rescue teams are still trying to reach some Bahamian communities isolated by floodwaters and debris after Hurricane Dorian, while the official death toll has risen to 43 and is likely to increase even more, top officials said.
4:30 a.m. Sept. 7, 2019 - By Andrea Riquier
Central bankers now know: hang together or most assuredly hang separately Central Bank coordination has morphed into co-dependencyThe Federal Reserve has cut rates because of a darkening global outlook, which will prompt the European Central Bank to cut rates, which will prompt the Bank of Canada to cut rates, and on and on.
7:59 a.m. Sept. 6, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting an intermediate-term ‘trend’ shift, S&P 500 stages September breakout Focus: Financials and transports extend recovery attempt, Gold and U.S. dollar signal risk-on, XLF, IYT, GLD, UUP, TRV, COST, BITAU.S. stocks are higher early Friday, rising modestly in the wake of a potentially consequential September breakout. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500’s breakout gets mixed marks for style, though it nonetheless opens the path to a potential retest of record territory.
4:21 a.m. Sept. 6, 2019 - By Mark Cobley
London markets trail global peers after a week of turmoil U.K. markets looked set to close the week out on a gain of almost 1% after a week of extraordinary political turmoil in London.
3:31 a.m. Sept. 6, 2019 - By Mark Cobley
European stocks hold near month highs European stocks were holding near month-long highs on Friday morning, having now made up all their losses since global markets plunged in early August on mounting trade-war fears.
7:57 a.m. Sept. 5, 2019 - By Michael Ashbaugh
S&P 500 knifes from the range, Tandem global market breakout attempts also in play Focus: China’s bullish island reversal, Japan tags key trendline, Europe reclaims the breakdown point, FXI, EWJ, IEV, TER, CVS, WBPotentially consequential breakout attempts are underway amid Thursday’s firmly higher start, fueled by optimism over scheduled China-U.S. trade talks. Consider that each major U.S. benchmark has knifed from its August range — by a margin exceeding 1% intraday — while key breakout attempts are concurrently in progress across the global markets.
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