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July 3, 2019, 12:24 p.m. EDT

ADP: U.S. adds modest 102,000 private-sector jobs in June

Job gains of 102,000 below consensus forecasts of 140,000

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By Greg Robb, MarketWatch

Bloomberg News/Landov Enlarge Image
People scour the job board looking for employment in Denver.

The numbers: The U.S. created a seasonally adjusted 102,000 private-sector jobs in June, payrolls processor ADP said Wednesday, up from a revised 41,000 in May.

Economists polled by Econoday expected 140,000 new jobs. May’s numbers were revised higher by 14,000.

The gain was well below the average of average 211,000 jobs created in the three months ending in April.

What happened: Large businesses led the growth in June, adding 65,000 jobs. Small businesses are struggling, losing 23,000 jobs.

By sector, education and health added 55,000 jobs. Professional and business added 32,000 jobs. Construction lost 18,000 jobs.

Big picture:

Before the ADP report, economists polled by MarketWatch expected the Labor Department to report a 170,000 gain in nonfarm jobs on Friday. The nonfarm jobs also includes government workers.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, said the data show the job market continues to “throttle back.” Businesses are more cautious, in part due to uncertainty over trade.

Zandi said the he thought unemployment was already starting to trade higher. He thought the unemployment rate would rise from May’s 3.6% rate. “The economy’s growth rate is significantly slowing and I think the risks are rising it is going to stall out,” Zandi said on CNBC.

What are they saying?

“The bigger picture here is that payroll growth had to slow this year because the economy is no longer being boosted by last year’s tax cuts. But the key private sector survey measures of hiring, notably the ISM surveys and the NFIB survey, have substantially recovered,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Market reaction:

Stocks were higher on investor optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the end of the month. The S&P 500 /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX -2.14%  was up 19 points to 2,992 and headed for its third consecutive record close.

-89.06 -2.14%
Volume: 2.40B
May 12, 2021 5:03p

Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington. Follow him on Twitter @grobb2000.

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