By Barbara Kollmeyer
Asian shares were mostly lower on Monday after China reported its economy grew at a meager 4.9% annual pace in July-September.
The Shanghai Composite index lost 0.4% to 3,559.96 while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong declined 0.4% to 25,246.38.
Chinese growth is under pressure from government controls meant to curb energy use and reduce financial risks from reliance on debt-fueled property developments. Manufacturing also has been hampered by shortages of processor chips and other components due to the pandemic.
Compared with the previous quarter, the way other major economies are measured, output in the July-September period barely grew , expanding by just 0.2%. That was down from the April-June period’s 1.2% and one of the weakest quarters of the past decade.
The 4.9% annual pace of growth was slighly below forecasts and compared with a 7.9% expansion in the April-June quarter, which was exaggerated by the downturn in 2020.
“The growth outlook has weakened due to the various headwinds,” Tommy Wu and Louis Kuijs of Oxford Economics said in a report. They forecast that growth would “slow significantly” in the current quarter.
Power shortages might persists, while other disruptions to manufacturing supply chains will likely ease. Weakness in the real estate sector, with major developer China Evergrande Group struggling to meet its debt obligations, would also slow activity, they said.
Other regional shares also fell. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index /zigman2/quotes/210597971/delayed JP:NIK +1.00% edged 0.2% lower, to 29,013.29. Shares also slipped in Taiwan and Singapore, while in Seoul, the Kospi /zigman2/quotes/210598069/delayed KR:180721 +0.78% was down 0.1%, at 3,010.93.
On Friday, Wall Street added to its recent gains, with the benchmark S&P 500 posting its best week since July.
The S&P 500 /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX -0.84% rose 0.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average /zigman2/quotes/210598065/realtime DJIA -0.17% rose 1.1% and the Nasdaq Composite /zigman2/quotes/210598365/realtime COMP -1.92% gained 0.5%.
Positive company earnings dovetailed with a report showing people spent much more at U.S. retailers in September than analysts had expected. Sales at stores, restaurants and other retail establishments rose 0.7% from August instead of falling, as economists forecast.
The S&P 500 is back within 1.5% of its all-time high after a shaky few weeks as worries about stubbornly high inflation, reduced support for markets from the Federal Reserve and a slowing economy knocked stock prices around.
Early indicators from earnings reports have been encouraging. All but one of the 19 companies in the S&P 500 that reported quarterly results last week topped analysts’ profit forecasts. Such strength is crucial after climbing interest rates heightened worries that stock prices had grown too expensive relative to profits.
The stronger-than-expected reports on the economy also help calm chatter about “stagflation,” or a stagnating economy coupled with high inflation.
Treasury yields rose following the much stronger-than-expected report on retail sales. The yield on the 10-year note /zigman2/quotes/211347051/realtime BX:TMUBMUSD10Y -6.19% climbed to nearly 1.60% early Monday from 1.57% late Friday.
The price of benchmark U.S. oil /zigman2/quotes/209723049/delayed CL00 -0.42% rose $1.19 to $83.47 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It surged 1.2% to $82.28 per barrel on Friday, continuing a powerful run that has sent it up more than 70% this year and fanned worries about high inflation.
Brent , the global benchmark for crude, climbed advanced 89 cents to $85.75 per barrel. It jumped 1% on Friday, though the price of U.S. natural gas fell 4.9%.
The U.S. dollar rose to 114.40 Japanese yen /zigman2/quotes/210561789/realtime/sampled USDJPY -0.3287% from 114.22 yen late Friday. The euro /zigman2/quotes/210561242/realtime/sampled EURUSD +0.0973% fell to $1.1582 from $1.1602.