Philip van Doorn

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Aug. 30, 2021, 12:10 p.m. EDT

If you’ve got the stock market jitters, here are 20 companies in two defensive sectors

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By Philip van Doorn

When investors expect economic growth to slow, interest in defensive sectors — health care and utilities — tends to perk up. This has been happening during the third quarter.

Below is a list of 20 favorite stocks in both sectors among Wall Street analysts.

Read: Goldman Sachs trims U.S. growth outlook

Here’s how the 11 sectors of the S&P 500 Index /zigman2/quotes/210599714/realtime SPX +0.53% have been performing:

S&P 500 sector Total return – June 30 through Aug. 27 Total return – 2021 Total return – 2020 Total return – 3 years Total return – 5 years
Utilities 8.4% 11.0% 0.5% 42% 66%
Communications Services 7.7% 28.8% 0.0% 88% 90%
Information Technology 7.0% 21.7% 43.9% 119% 277%
Health Care 6.9% 19.5% 13.4% 55% 103%
Financials 6.3% 33.6% -1.7% 46% 121%
Real Estate 5.7% 30.3% -2.2% 55% 70%
Materials 4.4% 19.6% 20.7% 53% 96%
Consumer Staples 3.2% 8.4% 10.7% 46% 54%
Industrials 2.4% 19.2% 11.1% 44% 92%
Consumer Discretionary 1.3% 11.7% 33.3% 63% 140%
Energy -8.4% 33.3% -33.7% -23% -12%
 
S&P 500 Index 5.2% 21.2% 18.4% 64% 129%
Source: FactSet

During the third quarter, the utilities sector has been especially strong, especially when considering that it is a laggard for all of 2021. Health care has also made a good third-quarter showing, while performing much better for 2021. (All performance figures in this article include reinvested dividends.)

A look at forward price-to-earnings valuations points to a discount for the health-care sector:

Sector Forward P/E Average forward P/E – 20 years Current valuation to index Average valuation to index
Health Care 17.7 15.4 83% 98%
Utilities 20.0 14.8 93% 94%
S&P 500 Index 21.4 15.7
Source: FactSet

By these numbers, the health-care sector is trading for a discount to the full index that is notably higher than normal.

Meanwhile, the utilities sector on average is trading closer to the index than it has. The prolonged low-interest-rate environment may help explain the higher valuation for the utilities sector, which is associated with attractive dividend yields.

Then again, the stock listed below with the second-highest dividend yield is Merck & Co. /zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite MRK +1.83% .

Stock screens for health care and utilities

Starting with the 92 stocks in the S&P 500 health-care and utilities sectors, here are the 20 stocks with majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among analysts polled by FactSet that have the highest upside for the next year, implied by consensus price targets:

Company Industry Share “buy” ratings Closing price – Aug. 27 Consensus price target implied 12-month upside potential Dividend yield
Incyte Corp. /zigman2/quotes/204510994/composite INCY Biotechnology 60% $75.68 $102.47 35% 0.00%
Centene Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208900023/composite CNC Managed Health Care 85% $63.98 $85.47 34% 0.00%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202259802/composite VRTX Biotechnology 78% $199.92 $262.14 31% 0.00%
Cigna Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208431372/composite CI Managed Health Care 91% $210.68 $275.76 31% 1.90%
Merck & Co. Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite MRK Pharmaceuticals 76% $76.30 $95.56 25% 3.41%
Baxter International Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207334572/composite BAX Medical Specialties 53% $73.97 $92.56 25% 1.51%
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205473073/composite ZBH Medical Specialties 79% $150.07 $187.58 25% 0.64%
AES Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209256253/composite AES Electric Utilities 91% $24.19 $29.94 24% 2.49%
Edison International /zigman2/quotes/206923834/composite EIX Electric Utilities 63% $57.53 $70.36 22% 4.61%
Humana Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203095337/composite HUM Managed Health Care 61% $405.76 $494.00 22% 0.69%
Teleflex Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209322043/composite TFX Medical Specialties 75% $388.22 $464.80 20% 0.35%
McKesson Corp. /zigman2/quotes/206975466/composite MCK Medical Distributors 81% $201.12 $240.38 20% 0.93%
Anthem Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203808743/composite ANTM Managed Health Care 74% $372.67 $438.90 18% 1.21%
AmerisourceBergen Corp. /zigman2/quotes/201066379/composite ABC Medical Distributors 69% $119.89 $140.85 17% 1.47%
Steris PLC /zigman2/quotes/203973646/composite STE Medical Specialties 83% $213.61 $249.60 17% 0.81%
Dentsply Sirona Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204544124/composite XRAY Medical Specialties 60% $62.09 $72.54 17% 0.71%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. /zigman2/quotes/202559280/composite BMY Pharmaceuticals 65% $66.60 $77.13 16% 2.94%
CVS Health Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209664499/composite CVS Drugstore Chains 77% $83.71 $96.47 15% 2.39%
Sempra Energy /zigman2/quotes/206074517/composite SRE Electric Utilities 63% $131.86 $151.07 15% 3.34%
Boston Scientific Corp. /zigman2/quotes/203726728/composite BSX Medical Specialties 84% $44.80 $51.20 14% 0.00%
Source: FactSet

Click on the tickers for more about each company.

As always, a list based on analysts at brokerage firms is only a starting point. If you see any stocks of interest, you need to do your own research to form your own opinion about a company’s long-term prospects.

Here’s some additional information. Consensus revenue estimates through 2024 are available for 18 of the 20 companies, while they are available through 2025 for 13 of them. Here they are with the companies in the same order, with three-year and four-year expected compound annual growth rates (CAGR) to the right, where applicable. Figures are in millions of dollars.

Company Estimated revenue – 2021 Estimated revenue – 2022 Estimated revenue – 2023 Estimated revenue – 2024 Estimated revenue – 2025 Expected revenue CAGR – three years Expected revenue CAGR – four years
Incyte Corp. /zigman2/quotes/204510994/composite INCY $2,841 $3,442 $3,989 $4,678 $5,432 18.1% 17.6%
Centene Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208900023/composite CNC $123,825 $128,431 $134,238 $139,438 N/A 4.0% N/A
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202259802/composite VRTX $7,287 $8,025 $8,553 $9,267 $9,922 8.3% 8.0%
Cigna Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208431372/composite CI $169,301 $179,342 $190,397 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Merck & Co. Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite MRK $46,888 $51,066 $52,998 $55,392 $57,936 5.7% 5.4%
Baxter International Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207334572/composite BAX $12,618 $13,243 $13,920 $14,623 $15,378 5.0% 5.1%
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205473073/composite ZBH $8,111 $8,519 $8,856 $9,364 $9,688 4.9% 4.5%
AES Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209256253/composite AES $9,807 $10,294 $10,305 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Edison International /zigman2/quotes/206923834/composite EIX $14,419 $14,888 $15,462 $15,848 $16,371 3.2% 3.2%
Humana Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203095337/composite HUM $82,792 $91,697 $100,029 $114,107 N/A 11.3% N/A
Teleflex Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209322043/composite TFX $2,821 $2,999 $3,216 $3,317 $3,575 5.6% 6.1%
McKesson Corp. /zigman2/quotes/206975466/composite MCK $248,994 $257,348 $269,939 $288,567 $303,454 5.0% 5.1%
Anthem Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203808743/composite ANTM $137,121 $150,049 $160,282 $183,364 N/A 10.2% N/A
AmerisourceBergen Corp. /zigman2/quotes/201066379/composite ABC $217,891 $239,232 $253,445 $272,019 N/A 7.7% N/A
Steris PLC /zigman2/quotes/203973646/composite STE $4,221 $4,940 $5,286 $5,630 N/A 10.1% N/A
Dentsply Sirona Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204544124/composite XRAY $4,287 $4,508 $4,710 $5,066 $5,335 5.7% 5.6%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. /zigman2/quotes/202559280/composite BMY $46,449 $48,556 $50,243 $51,282 $51,184 3.4% 2.5%
CVS Health Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209664499/composite CVS $283,269 $295,651 $309,494 $322,225 $337,416 4.4% 4.5%
Sempra Energy /zigman2/quotes/206074517/composite SRE $12,117 $12,558 $12,912 $13,220 $13,352 2.9% 2.5%
Boston Scientific Corp. /zigman2/quotes/203726728/composite BSX $12,029 $12,978 $13,977 $14,932 $15,902 7.5% 7.2%
Source: FactSet

The sales estimates are for calendar years — some companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.

Moving on to earnings estimates, consensus earnings-per-share estimates are available through 2024 for all 20 companies and available through 2025 for 14 of them.

Here they are, with expected CAGR:

Company Estimated EPS – 2021 Estimated EPS – 2022 Estimated EPS – 2023 Estimated EPS – 2024 Estimated EPS – 2025 Expected EPS CAGR – three years Expected EPS CAGR – four years
Incyte Corp. /zigman2/quotes/204510994/composite INCY $2.10 $3.64 $4.80 $6.38 $8.53 44.9% 42.0%
Centene Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208900023/composite CNC $5.19 $5.69 $6.55 $8.19 N/A 16.4% N/A
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. /zigman2/quotes/202259802/composite VRTX $12.27 $13.11 $13.93 $15.03 $16.09 7.0% 7.0%
Cigna Corp. /zigman2/quotes/208431372/composite CI $20.30 $22.58 $25.58 $26.56 N/A 9.4% N/A
Merck & Co. Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite MRK $5.57 $6.51 $6.99 $7.90 $8.53 12.3% 11.2%
Baxter International Inc. /zigman2/quotes/207334572/composite BAX $3.53 $3.99 $4.48 $4.78 $5.09 10.7% 9.6%
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc. /zigman2/quotes/205473073/composite ZBH $7.79 $8.71 $9.53 $10.35 $10.84 9.9% 8.6%
AES Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209256253/composite AES $1.54 $1.67 $1.80 $1.90 $2.08 7.1% 7.8%
Edison International /zigman2/quotes/206923834/composite EIX $4.52 $4.64 $4.91 $5.13 $5.50 4.3% 5.0%
Humana Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203095337/composite HUM $21.57 $24.58 $27.86 $32.66 N/A 14.8% N/A
Teleflex Inc. /zigman2/quotes/209322043/composite TFX $12.98 $14.62 $16.50 $19.13 $21.35 13.8% 13.3%
McKesson Corp. /zigman2/quotes/206975466/composite MCK $19.48 $21.03 $23.05 $24.75 $26.66 8.3% 8.2%
Anthem Inc. /zigman2/quotes/203808743/composite ANTM $25.62 $28.56 $32.32 $38.54 N/A 14.6% N/A
AmerisourceBergen Corp. /zigman2/quotes/201066379/composite ABC $9.55 $10.77 $11.59 $12.43 N/A 9.2% N/A
Steris PLC /zigman2/quotes/203973646/composite STE $7.34 $8.44 $9.32 $10.89 N/A 14.0% N/A
Dentsply Sirona Inc. /zigman2/quotes/204544124/composite XRAY $2.89 $3.22 $3.61 $4.37 $5.34 14.8% 16.6%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. /zigman2/quotes/202559280/composite BMY $7.49 $8.12 $8.56 $8.74 $8.67 5.3% 3.7%
CVS Health Corp. /zigman2/quotes/209664499/composite CVS $7.77 $8.24 $8.93 $9.40 $10.19 6.5% 7.0%
Sempra Energy /zigman2/quotes/206074517/composite SRE $8.13 $8.47 $8.93 $9.34 $9.76 4.7% 4.7%
Boston Scientific Corp. /zigman2/quotes/203726728/composite BSX $1.61 $1.87 $2.11 $2.35 $2.61 13.5% 12.8%
Source: FactSet

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$ 120.01
+1.63 +1.38%
Volume: 51,090
Oct. 19, 2021 10:25a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.47%
Market Cap
$24.60 billion
Rev. per Employee
$8.63M
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/zigman2/quotes/203973646/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 228.33
+5.13 +2.30%
Volume: 51,879
Oct. 19, 2021 10:26a
P/E Ratio
67.80
Dividend Yield
0.76%
Market Cap
$22.27 billion
Rev. per Employee
$239,040
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/zigman2/quotes/204544124/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 56.79
+0.47 +0.83%
Volume: 101,428
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
33.86
Dividend Yield
0.78%
Market Cap
$12.31 billion
Rev. per Employee
$222,800
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/zigman2/quotes/202559280/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 57.43
+0.49 +0.86%
Volume: 1.40M
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
3.41%
Market Cap
$126.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.41M
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/zigman2/quotes/209664499/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 84.81
+0.33 +0.40%
Volume: 481,332
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
15.61
Dividend Yield
2.35%
Market Cap
$111.48 billion
Rev. per Employee
$895,513
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/zigman2/quotes/206074517/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 129.16
+1.74 +1.37%
Volume: 121,982
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
18.76
Dividend Yield
3.39%
Market Cap
$40.69 billion
Rev. per Employee
$771,998
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/zigman2/quotes/203726728/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 43.97
+1.17 +2.72%
Volume: 901,001
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
134.39
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$60.94 billion
Rev. per Employee
$260,868
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/zigman2/quotes/204510994/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 65.33
+0.75 +1.16%
Volume: 181,616
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
43.07
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$14.26 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.50M
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/zigman2/quotes/208900023/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 64.29
+0.28 +0.43%
Volume: 159,866
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
53.12
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$37.32 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.56M
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/zigman2/quotes/202259802/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 184.33
+3.53 +1.95%
Volume: 289,595
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
24.34
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$46.90 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.83M
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/zigman2/quotes/208431372/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 205.63
+1.06 +0.52%
Volume: 133,942
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
9.08
Dividend Yield
1.94%
Market Cap
$69.58 billion
Rev. per Employee
$2.18M
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/zigman2/quotes/209956077/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 78.56
+1.41 +1.83%
Volume: 4.21M
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
35.84
Dividend Yield
3.31%
Market Cap
$195.30 billion
Rev. per Employee
$648,824
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/zigman2/quotes/207334572/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 79.25
+1.07 +1.37%
Volume: 179,824
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
36.28
Dividend Yield
1.41%
Market Cap
$39.08 billion
Rev. per Employee
$233,460
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/zigman2/quotes/205473073/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 148.60
+3.63 +2.50%
Volume: 152,950
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
33.91
Dividend Yield
0.65%
Market Cap
$30.28 billion
Rev. per Employee
$351,225
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/zigman2/quotes/209256253/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 24.01
+0.15 +0.65%
Volume: 266,758
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.51%
Market Cap
$15.89 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.18M
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/zigman2/quotes/206923834/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 57.78
+0.62 +1.08%
Volume: 139,065
Oct. 19, 2021 10:26a
P/E Ratio
26.99
Dividend Yield
4.58%
Market Cap
$21.70 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.02M
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/zigman2/quotes/203095337/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 441.22
+2.67 +0.61%
Volume: 39,082
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
23.40
Dividend Yield
0.63%
Market Cap
$56.36 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.56M
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/zigman2/quotes/209322043/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 366.62
+6.75 +1.88%
Volume: 11,540
Oct. 19, 2021 10:23a
P/E Ratio
49.43
Dividend Yield
0.37%
Market Cap
$16.84 billion
Rev. per Employee
$181,225
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/zigman2/quotes/206975466/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 203.19
+2.39 +1.19%
Volume: 30,833
Oct. 19, 2021 10:24a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.93%
Market Cap
$31.06 billion
Rev. per Employee
$3.13M
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/zigman2/quotes/203808743/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 394.43
+6.22 +1.60%
Volume: 138,422
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
23.31
Dividend Yield
1.14%
Market Cap
$94.65 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.46M
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/zigman2/quotes/201066379/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 120.01
+1.63 +1.38%
Volume: 51,090
Oct. 19, 2021 10:25a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.47%
Market Cap
$24.60 billion
Rev. per Employee
$8.63M
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/zigman2/quotes/203973646/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 228.33
+5.13 +2.30%
Volume: 51,879
Oct. 19, 2021 10:26a
P/E Ratio
67.80
Dividend Yield
0.76%
Market Cap
$22.27 billion
Rev. per Employee
$239,040
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/zigman2/quotes/204544124/composite
US : U.S.: Nasdaq
$ 56.79
+0.47 +0.83%
Volume: 101,428
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
33.86
Dividend Yield
0.78%
Market Cap
$12.31 billion
Rev. per Employee
$222,800
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/zigman2/quotes/202559280/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 57.43
+0.49 +0.86%
Volume: 1.40M
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
N/A
Dividend Yield
3.41%
Market Cap
$126.53 billion
Rev. per Employee
$1.41M
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/zigman2/quotes/209664499/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 84.81
+0.33 +0.40%
Volume: 481,332
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
15.61
Dividend Yield
2.35%
Market Cap
$111.48 billion
Rev. per Employee
$895,513
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/zigman2/quotes/206074517/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 129.16
+1.74 +1.37%
Volume: 121,982
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
18.76
Dividend Yield
3.39%
Market Cap
$40.69 billion
Rev. per Employee
$771,998
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/zigman2/quotes/203726728/composite
US : U.S.: NYSE
$ 43.97
+1.17 +2.72%
Volume: 901,001
Oct. 19, 2021 10:27a
P/E Ratio
134.39
Dividend Yield
N/A
Market Cap
$60.94 billion
Rev. per Employee
$260,868
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