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Strategizing for 2022

  • Strategizing for 2022 Strategizing for 2022 9:52
    Gearing Up for Big Tech Earnings Gearing Up for Big Tech Earnings 9:48
3:00 a.m. Nov. 29, 2021 - Barrons.com
Strategizing for 2022TD Ameritrade's JJ Kinahan warns of what could cause additional selling pressure as we approach year-end. Plus, Jason Pride of Glenmede discusses how he's positioning his portfolio to prepare for 2022.
9:20 a.m. Oct. 27, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
Long-dated Treasury yields on track for biggest daily drop in over 3 monthsLong-dated Treasury yields on Wednesday were experiencing the biggest slide in months, with buying in long-dated bond yields fueled by concerns about the economic outlook, against expectations that the Federal Reserve will commence the reduction of monthly asset purchases, as early as next week, with an eye toward eventually hiking interest rates, which currently stand at a range between 0% and 0.25%. The 10-year Treasury note yield was 8.3 basis points lower at around 1.538% at last check Wednesday, compared with its 3 p.m. Eastern Time levels. The daily slide for the benchmark Treasury rate, used to price everything from mortgages to car loans, would mark the steepest one-day slide since July 19, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Meanwhile, the 30-year Treasury bond rate was at 1.953%, off 9.8 basis points, which would also mark its sharpest yield slide since July 19.
11:08 a.m. July 28, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
Dow, S&P 500 log back-to-back losses as Fed says economy has 'made progress' from COVID but not enoughThe Nasdaq Composite on Wednededay ended solidly higher but the broader market closed weaker as the Federal Reserve signaled that the countdown has begun on scaling back its massive support for the U.S. economy, but a decision still appeared a ways away. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by about 128 points, or 0.4%, at 34,930, the S&P 500 index was virtually flat, but in negative territory, to end at around 4,400. The benchmarks declined for the second straight session. The Nasdaq , meanwhile, closed up 0.7% at roughly 14,762. The Fed kept interest rates at a range between 0% and 0.25%, as expected, and Powell indicated that the central bank was in no immediate rush to scale back on its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which the Chairman said would continue until "substantial further progress" was made toward the Fed's goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching 2%. The Fed statement said that the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committe "will continue to assess progress in coming meetings." Meanwhile, the small-capitalization Russell 2000 index finished sharply higher, up around 1.6%, at last check. Separately, the 10-year Treasury note was up 2.4 basis points at 1.259%.
9:21 a.m. July 26, 2021 - Barrons.com
Gearing Up for Big Tech EarningsKatie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, discusses where investors can still find value amid record highs and ongoing volatility. Plus, Michael Sonnenfeldt, founder of Tiger 21, on the investment strategies of today's most successful entrepreneurs. And, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo of Mackay Shields analyzes how to maneuver today's credit markets.
6:42 a.m. June 18, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
Dow futures sink over 300 points as Fed's Bullard estimates that initial rate increase could happen in late 2022U.S. stock-index futures saw losses deepen Friday morning as St. Louis Federal Reserve President Jim Bullard said, during a CNBC interview, that the central bank could lift benchmark interest rates, which currently stand at a range between 0% and 0.25%, as early as late next year. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down more than 300 points, or 1%, at 33,366, those for the S&P 500 index were off 0.8% at 4,180, while Nasdaq-100 futures were trading 0.6% lower at 14,068. The Dow and S&P 500 are headed for weekly declines, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was headed for a weekly gain after the Federal Reserve delivered its most recent policy update on Wednesday. Bullard's comments mark the first from a Fed member since the conclusion of its rate-setting meeting. Bullard is not currently a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, which helps to set rates. Bullard told CNBC that he thinks "it's natural that we've tilted a little more hawkish to contain inflationary pressures." He also said that comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell have opened the door to tapering the Fed's $120 billion montly asset-purchases, which include $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities.
6:09 a.m. June 18, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
S&P 500 skids 1% lower Friday, putting stock-market benchmark on brink off first close below 50-day average since MarchThe S&P 500 index on Friday was on the verge of marking its firt close below its short-term moving average since early March, amid a sharp slump in the stock market. The S&P 500 index was trading down 1% at 4,177, with its 50-day moving average standing at 4.181.95, according to FactSet data. A close below that level would mark the first such decline since March 8, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 1.5%, down more than 500 points, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was trading 0.7% lower at 14,066. The decline for the market accelerated after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said that he saw benchmark interest rates rising as soon as late 2022, in an interview on CNBC Friday morning. Market participants use moving averages to help gauge the long-term and short-term momentum in an asset.
4:40 a.m. June 17, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
U.S. stock market attempts to claw back gains Thursday as investors weigh hawkish Fed and punchy U.S. dollarU.S. stock benchmarks struggled for altitude Thursday morning, a day after the Federal Reserve signaled its intention to raise interest rates sooner than previously forecast and upped its forecast for inflation and economic growth. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , which closed below its 50-day moving average on wednesday for the first time since early March, was inching higher at 34,059, up 25 points, or less than 0.1%; the S&P 500 index was rising to 4,229, up 4 points, buoyed by gains in financials and consumer staples. The technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was trading at 14,059, up 0.1%, as rates for benchmark government debt remained somewhat buoyant, weighing on yield-sensitive sectors. On Wednesday, the Fed's median projection showed that policy makers see a lift to benchmark rates, currently at a range between 0% and 0.25%, to 0.6% by the end of 2023, sooner than they anticipated in March. Thursday's moves come as the U.S. dollar has made bullish post-Fed moves. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , a gauge of the dollar against a half-dozen currencies, was up 0.6% at 91.69.
9:04 a.m. June 16, 2021 - By Mark Decambre
Dow losses deepen, benchmark down around 300 points as Fed refers to inflation's rise as transitoryU.S. stocks saw losses gather some steam Wednesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve, kept benchmark interest rates steady, as expected, but referred to inflation as transitory and said that it would need substantial further progress before tapering its asset-purchase program, which is currently running at $120 billion a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 300 points, or 0.9%, at 33,999 the S&P 500 index was off 0.7% at 4,217, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was off 0.6% at 13,995.
7:09 a.m. March 8, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Market cross currents persist: Nasdaq hesitates at the breakdown point Focus: Crude oil rises amid reflation trade/geopolitics, USO, CAT, STT, AEO, ICHRU.S. stocks are mixed early Monday, vacillating amid a familiar March divergence. Against this backdrop, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied within striking distance of record highs, while the recently lagging Nasdaq Composite has balked early Monday at its breakdown point.
7:50 a.m. March 5, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a technical question mark, S&P 500 violates the 50-day average Focus: 10-year Treasury note yield continues to take flight, Sector leaders remain in divergence mode, TNX, XLF, IYT, QQQU.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, vacillating after a stronger-than-expected monthly jobs report. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has ventured under its 50-day moving average for the first time since November, though amid a downturn that gets low marks for bearish style. The prevailing bigger-picture technicals are not one-size-fits-all.
9:27 a.m. March 4, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Buzzy stock-market ETFs backed by Portnoy and Wood get crushed Thursday afternoon as the Nasdaq nears correction Cathie Wood's flagship ARK Invest ETF and a VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment backed by Wall Street bro Dave Portnoy are down by at least 4%. The VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETF was down 4.3% in Thursday afternoon trade, in its debut. Meanwhile, Wood's ARK Innovation deepened its slide into correction on Thursday, off 6.6%. Both ETFs focus on drawing interest from many of the growthy tech stocks which are in the market's crosshairs as bond yields rise, including electric-vehicle maker Tesla Inc. . On Thursday, bonds took a leg higher after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he was watching the rise in rates but offered no concrete steps the central bank was taking to tamp down rate moves. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped by 7 basis points in afternoon action, hitting around 1.54% and accelerating a sell-off in stocks that are viewed as pricey and that don't offer a coupon. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index was down nearly 10% from its Feb. 12 peak, meeting the commonly used definition for a correction. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down more than 400 points, or 1.3%, and nursing a 0.8% year-to-date gain. The S&P 500 index was down 1.6% and holding on to a 2021 gain of less than 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite was negative for the year, down 1.4%.
7:34 a.m. March 4, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a volatile March start: S&P 500, Nasdaq reach key technical tests Focus: Charting a still bullish-leaning sector backdrop, IYT, XLF, QQQ, XLV, XLU, XLP, XLE, XLI, AMZNU.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday — though well off the session’s worst levels — vacillating amid a volatile March start. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 is back for its latest crack at the 50-day moving average, currently 3,820, while the Nasdaq Composite has whipsawed Thursday at last-ditch support matching the 2020 peak (12,973).
11:05 a.m. March 3, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Resurgence in Treasury yields hammers tech stocks, drives Nasdaq below 13,000 to mark worst 2-day skid in 6 monthsU.S. stock benchmarks on Wednesday closed lower and technology and tech-related shares got whacked as a continued rise in bond yields forced a rotational shift out of highflying tech and into areas of the market that might benefit from a regime of rising interest rates, like banks and energy . A report from the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, a survey of business conditions in the central bank's 12 regional districts, also showed only a modest uptick in economic activity to start the year, despite headway on COVID the vaccination front. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down by about 0.4% at 31,270, while the S&P 500 index closed off 1.3% at 3,820. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index, took the brunt of the selling, off 2.7%, at 12,997 to mark the index's worst two-day skid since September, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Meanwhile, the initial public offering of health-care data company Oscar Health Inc. , finished down nearly 11% in its public debut. And the 10-year Treasury note was around 1.47%.
11:05 a.m. Feb. 25, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow skids 560 points to mark worst day in a month as surge in interest rates unsettles Wall Street bulls U.S. stock benchmarks on Thursday booked their worst selloff in weeks as a steady rise in government debt upended the market's bullish posture. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by about 560 points, or 1.8%, to 31,402, to mark its worst day since Jan. 29. the S&P 500 index closed 2.4% lower at 3,831, while the Nasdaq Composite Index , the most sensitive to rising yields, ended the session down 3.5% to 13,119 and finished below its 50-day moving average at 13,284.23 for the first time since Oct. 28, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The move comes as the 10-year Treasury note rose to above 1.5%, reflecting expectations of higher inflation and higher borrowing costs for companies and individuals.
11:08 a.m. Feb. 23, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow set to stage biggest comeback in 2 months on Powell comments; Nasdaq attempts to erase 4% intraday skidStock-market investors appear to be picking up what Federal Reserve Chairman is putting down on Tuesday in Senate Banking Committee testimony and buying the dip with gusto, as the main equity benchmarks attempt to erase sharp losses from earlier in the day that had been sparked by a sharp rise in bond yields. The Nasdaq Composite Index , for example, was down just about 0.2% at 13,508, after sinking nearly 4% earlier Tuesday to intraday nadir at 13,003.98, FactSet data show. The move had pushed the Nasdaq down below its 50-day moving average at 13,246.74. A close below that level would mark the first time the technology-laden benchmark finished beneath the short-term trend line since late October. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4% at 31,642 after being down by as many as 362 points or 1.2%. A close higher for the Dow would mark the biggest comeback for the blue-chip index since Dec. 21 when it fell 1.4% and ended 0.12% higher, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The S&P 500 index was up 0.4% at 3,894 after hitting an intraday low at 3,805.59. A higher close for the index would mark its biggest comeback since June 5 when it fell 2.48% to end up 0.8%. Powell in his first of two days of semi-annual congressional testimony said "the economy is a long way from our employment and inflation goals." And the chairman emphasized that the Fed will continue to support the economy with interest rates and asset purchases until substantial progress is made.Markets had been on edge as the 10-year Treasury note had jumped to around 1.36%, around its highest level in about a year, raising the prospects of higher borrowing costs for companies and individuals. Technology shares are particularly sensitive to the move in rates because valuations there are considered rich.
7:26 a.m. Feb. 17, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting market cross currents, S&P 500 pulls in to the range Cross currents across asset classes surface amid surging Treasury yields, TNX, USO, GLD, FXY, UUP, XLF, KREU.S. stocks are lower early Wednesday, pressured as the latest economic data fuel the debate regarding potential pending inflation. Against this backdrop, each big three U.S. benchmark has reversed from Tuesday’s record high, pulling in to its former range amid largely garden-variety selling pressure.
7:06 a.m. Feb. 3, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a bullish reversal, S&P 500 nails the breakdown point Focus: Retail sector asserts cooling-off phase, Homebuilders hold the breakout point, XRT, XHB, CYBR, KMX, SWIR, WIXU.S. stocks are mixed early Wednesday, treading water after a solid batch of quarterly earnings reports and economic data. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its rally from major support, rising to challenge its breakdown point (3,830).
9:08 a.m. Jan. 27, 2021 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow falls 410 points as Fed keeps policy plan steady as expectedU.S. stock benchmarks retained a sharp decline Wednesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve held monetary policy steady while noting that the sectors of the economy that have already been damaged by the coronavirus pandemic are experiencing another round of pain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading 1.4% lower at 30,499, the S&P 500 index was down 1.7% at 3,785, while the Nasdaq Composite Index was off 1.2% at 13,475. The Fed in its statement said that the "pace of the recovery in economic activity and employment has moderated in recent months, with weakness concentrated in the sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic." The Fed's policy update comes as investors are worried about the pace of the recovery from COVID-19, with investors training their attention to pockets of bubbliciousness on Wall Street, including trading in stocks like GameStop , which are being viewed as indicative of the frothiness persistent in the market amid superlow interest rates and trillions in Fed liquidity. Still, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has stressed repeatedly it is premature for the U.S. central bank to contemplate exiting its accommodative monetary policy stance. Powell is expected to hold a news conference to discuss policy with reporters at 2:30 p.m. Eastern. The Fed is expected to field questions about GameStop as a matter of potential spillover or systemic risk.
6:48 a.m. Jan. 14, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a slow-motion breakout attempt: Nasdaq, Dow industrials press record highs Focus: Homebuilders break out even amid rising interest rates, XHB, ZBRA, KSS, WSM, JNPR, FATEU.S. stocks are higher early Thursday, rising amid renewed optimism over fiscal-stimulus prospects. Against this backdrop, each big three U.S. benchmark has challenged its prevailing range top — levels defining record highs — amid a slow-motion breakout attempt.
7:53 a.m. Jan. 12, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a decisive 2021 breakout: U.S. benchmarks clear 20-day volatility bands Focus: Rising interest rates and energy prices signal reflation trade, 10-year yield and crude oil take flight, TNX, USO, AMD, SEDG, CSCOTechnically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have asserted a near-term holding pattern, pulling in modestly from all-time highs. Still, the slight downturn punctuates previously aggressive January breakouts amid a still comfortably bullish bigger-picture backdrop.
7:29 a.m. Jan. 12, 2021 - By Michael Ashbaugh
Charting a decisive 2021 breakout: U.S. benchmarks clear 20-day volatility bands Focus: Rising interest rates and energy prices signal reflation trade, 10-year yield and crude oil take flight, TNX, USO, AMD, SEDG, CSCOTechnically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have asserted a near-term holding pattern, pulling in modestly from all-time highs. Still, the slight downturn punctuates previously aggressive January breakouts amid a still comfortably bullish bigger-picture backdrop.
9:56 a.m. Jan. 4, 2021 - By Ciara Linnane
U.S. heads toward 21 million COVID-19 cases and 353,000 deaths as vaccine program continues to lag all targets ‘Last mile’ vaccine distribution has been far slower than required, ‘with millions of doses still sitting on the shelves,’ says Raymond James analystThe global case tally for the coronavirus-borne illness COIVID-19 climbed above 85 million on Monday, as the U.S. headed toward 21 million cases and 353,000 deaths, as the vaccine program continued to advance with fits and starts and to lag all early targets.
11:04 a.m. Dec. 16, 2020 - By Mark DeCambre
Nasdaq ends at record, S&P 500 narrowly misses closing high as Fed emphasizes 0% interest rates through 2023 U.S. stocks finished at or near records on Wednesday, though the Dow closed nearly flat, as the Federal Reserve did little to indicate a change of the regime of ultralow interest rates amid the pandemic. The Fed said it was optimistic on the current recovery but emphasized that the outlook for the economy will hinge on how the U.S. deals with the worst viral outbreak in more than a century. Federal-funds rates were held at a range between 0% and 0.25%, as expected, as Washington tries to hammer out an agreement on another round of financial aid to combat the economic harm from the coronavirus. The central bank increased its GDP forecast but didn't adjust its $120 billion asset purchases, as had been expected by some Fed watchers. "Together these measures will ensure that monetary policy will continue to deliver powerful support for the economy until the recovery is complete," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a news conference after Wednesday's statement was released. "A big yawn," is how Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors, described the policy update to MarketWatch, immediately after the release. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by about 44 points, or 0.2%, at around 30,155; the S&P 500 index rose 0.2% to 3,701, just shy of its Dec. 8 closing record at 3,702.25' while the Nasdaq Composite Index booked a 0.5% rise to a record close at about 12,658. In economic reports, a retail sales report showed that the economy may be slowing as coronavirus cases surge. U.S. retail sales dropped a seasonally adjusted 1.1% in November from the prior month. The data and Fed update come as congressional lawmakers were hammering out a roughly $900 billion deal that was expected to include another round of direct payments to households, The Wall Street Journal reported. In corporate news, Shares of Facebook Inc. were in focus after it launched a PR assault against Apple Inc. claiming the iPhone maker's upcoming mobile operating system update will hurt small businesses. Bond yields also edged higher, with the 10-year Treasury note yielding 0.92%.
9:23 a.m. Dec. 16, 2020 - By Mark DeCambre
Dow adds to slight losses Wednesday as Fed says path of economy next year depends on coronavirusU.S. stocks traded off their highest levels of the session on Wednesday, and losses deepened for the Dow, as investors parsed the last policy update of 2020 from the Federal Reserve, which did little to indicate a change of the regime of ultralow interest rates amid the pandemic. The Fed said it was optimistic on the current recovery but noted that the outlook for the economy will hinge on how the U.S. deals with the worst viral outbreak in more than a century. Federal-funds rates were held at a range between 0% and 0.25%, as expected, as Washington tries to hammer out an agreement on another round of financial aid to combat the economic harm from the coronavirus. The central bank increased its GDP forecast but did little to adjust its asset purchases, as had been expected by some Fed watchers. "A big yawn," is how Michael Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors, described the policy update to MarketWatch, immediately after the release. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading of by about 100 points, or 0.3%, lower at 30,104, the S&P 500 index slipped into negative territory at 3,693, while the Nasdaq Composite Index pared its gains, up 0.2% at 12,618. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will host a news conference at 2:30 p.m.
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